Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shenzhen Peng City FC v Zhejiang

Início: 2026-08-22 11:35 UTC

Final: Shenzhen Peng City FC 1–1 Zhejiang

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)

Previsão 37.06%2.70odd justa
EV -3.64%
Vantagem -1.40%
Kelly -2.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.00%37.22%36.99%39.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.472.482.6044.44%40.43%40.32%38.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Zhejiang (Visitante)

Previsão 37.87%2.64odd justa
EV -3.42%
Vantagem -1.34%
Kelly -2.21%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.05%37.78%37.87%38.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.432.452.5544.44%41.14%40.82%39.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.06%3.99odd justa
EV +0.251%
Vantagem +0.063%
Kelly +0.084%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.63%25.00%25.14%26.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.643.604.0029.41%27.48%27.78%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local): 37.06%; Zhejiang (Visitante): 37.87%; Empate: 25.06%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.99. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.251%.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.80%EV -5.31%E -2.13%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV +0.251%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 11:19
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.32%EV -4.38%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.06%EV -4.18%E -1.65%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.62%EV -2.00%E -0.513%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -2.26%E -0.578%K -0.778%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 11:19
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -9.10%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 11:00
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 11:20
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 10:39
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 10:48
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 11:09
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -5.31%E -2.13%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 11:20
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.39%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.17%EV -9.10%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 11:18
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.39%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.17%EV -9.10%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 11:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -5.31%E -2.13%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -5.31%E -2.13%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 11:20
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -5.31%E -2.13%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 11:20
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.31%E -2.13%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 11:09
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.31%E -2.13%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 11:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -12.90%E -5.49%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -3.42%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 36.90%EV -6.97%E -2.78%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.80%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.30%EV -8.27%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 11:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -9.10%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -8.52%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 07:50
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 11:09
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.02%EV -8.08%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 10:09
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.02%EV -8.08%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 10:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.02%EV -8.08%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 10:09
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.02%EV -8.08%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 10:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.02%EV -8.08%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 10:09
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.02%EV -8.08%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 10:09
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.10%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.10%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 11:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.10%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 11:15
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.10%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 11:15
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -9.10%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 11:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.20%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -11.00%E -4.68%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 07:50
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.10%EV -16.61%E -7.38%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.10%EV -14.78%E -6.57%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-22 11:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.55%EV -7.59%E -3.11%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -11.03%E -3.11%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 07:54
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.38%EV -6.60%E -2.62%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.42%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 07:49
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.38%EV -6.60%E -2.62%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.42%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 07:49
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.10%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 11:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.29%EV -11.00%E -4.68%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 11:09
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -9.94%E -4.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.10%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 10:09
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -9.86%E -4.14%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -9.86%E -4.14%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.98%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.29%EV -9.86%E -4.14%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-22 10:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -12.90%E -5.49%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -11.00%E -4.68%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -14.79%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-22 10:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -12.90%E -5.49%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -11.00%E -4.68%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -14.79%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-22 10:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-08-22 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-08-22 11:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-08-22 11:25
Matchbook◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-08-22 11:20
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-08-22 11:00