La scuola delle quote

Shenzhen Peng City FC v Liaoning Tieren FC

Inizio: 2026-04-26 11:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Casa)

Previsione 37.38%2.68quota equa
EV -4.68%
Vantaggio -1.84%
Kelly -3.02%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.52%37.49%37.40%39.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.432.452.5543.48%41.20%40.90%39.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Liaoning Tieren FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.53%2.90quota equa
EV -2.63%
Vantaggio -0.931%
Kelly -1.44%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.73%34.41%34.58%35.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.712.712.8241.67%36.96%36.83%35.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.09%3.56quota equa
EV -1.68%
Vantaggio -0.480%
Kelly -0.672%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.36%28.11%28.02%29.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.273.303.5034.72%30.56%30.30%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.68%E -1.84%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 11:14
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 37.60%EV -5.06%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.98%EV -2.97%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.42%EV -5.61%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:34
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -5.80%E -2.30%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 11:15
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -5.80%E -2.30%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 11:15
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 37.79%EV -6.18%E -2.46%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.64%EV -2.63%E -0.931%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.57%EV -6.74%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 11:55
BetUS2.51I 39.84%NM 37.79%EV -6.18%E -2.46%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.64%EV -2.63%E -0.931%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.57%EV -6.74%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 11:49
LowVig.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.55%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -3.32%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:39
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.55%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -3.32%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:40
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.55%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 11:10
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.55%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 18:34
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.55%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 18:35
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.55%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 18:34
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.55%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 18:35
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.55%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 03:49
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -6.55%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -11.95%E -4.69%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 15:09
Bovada2.49I 40.16%NM 37.82%EV -6.93%E -2.78%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.32%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 11:49
Marathon Bet2.46I 40.65%NM 37.65%EV -8.05%E -3.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.93%EV -5.73%E -2.10%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -8.42%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 01:29
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -8.42%E -3.44%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.68%E -0.480%K -0.672%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:59
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.42%E -3.44%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 12:00
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 36.93%EV -8.80%E -3.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -11.95%E -4.69%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 11:19
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -10.29%E -4.29%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -1.68%E -0.480%K -0.672%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 11:59
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.29%E -4.29%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 11:59
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.29%E -4.29%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 11:58
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.29%E -4.29%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -13.68%E -5.47%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 11:14
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -12.16%E -5.17%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -3.32%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 11:09
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -12.16%E -5.17%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -3.32%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 05:44
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -12.16%E -5.17%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -3.32%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 05:44
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -12.16%E -5.17%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -3.32%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 05:44
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -12.16%E -5.17%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -3.32%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 05:44
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -12.16%E -5.17%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -3.32%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 05:44
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -12.16%E -5.17%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -3.32%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 05:44
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -12.16%E -5.17%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -3.32%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 05:45
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -12.16%E -5.17%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -3.32%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 05:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -12.16%E -5.17%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -3.32%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 05:45
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -14.03%E -6.10%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -5.04%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 05:44
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -14.03%E -6.10%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -5.04%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 05:45
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.35%EV -14.03%E -6.10%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -17.13%E -7.14%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-23 11:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -14.03%E -6.10%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -13.68%E -5.47%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -19.10%E -6.63%K -10.16%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-23 11:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 34.70%2.22I 45.05%NM 37.20%2.94I 34.01%NM 28.09%21.1%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 40.11%2.80I 35.71%NM 19.77%1.38I 72.46%NM 40.11%80.6%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 40.11%2.80I 35.71%NM 19.77%1.38I 72.46%NM 40.11%80.6%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 40.11%2.80I 35.71%NM 19.77%1.38I 72.46%NM 40.11%80.6%2026-04-24 03:45