L’École des cotes

Shenzhen Peng City FC v Liaoning Tieren FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)

Prévision 37.38%2.68cote équitable
EV -4.68%
Avantage -1.84%
Kelly -3.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.52%37.49%37.40%39.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.432.452.5543.48%41.20%40.90%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Liaoning Tieren FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.53%2.90cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -0.931%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.73%34.41%34.58%35.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.712.712.8241.67%36.96%36.83%35.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.09%3.56cote équitable
EV -1.68%
Avantage -0.480%
Kelly -0.672%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.36%28.11%28.02%29.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.273.303.5034.72%30.56%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.68%E -1.84%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 11:14
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 37.60%EV -5.06%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.98%EV -2.97%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.42%EV -5.61%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:34
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -5.80%E -2.30%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 11:15
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -5.80%E -2.30%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 11:15
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 37.79%EV -6.18%E -2.46%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.64%EV -2.63%E -0.931%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.57%EV -6.74%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 11:55
BetUS2.51I 39.84%NM 37.79%EV -6.18%E -2.46%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.64%EV -2.63%E -0.931%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.57%EV -6.74%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 11:49
LowVig.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.55%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -3.32%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:39
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.55%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -3.32%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:40
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.55%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 11:10
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.55%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 18:34
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.55%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 18:35
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.55%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 18:34
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.55%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 18:35
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.55%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 03:49
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -6.55%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -11.95%E -4.69%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 15:09
Bovada2.49I 40.16%NM 37.82%EV -6.93%E -2.78%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.32%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 11:49
Marathon Bet2.46I 40.65%NM 37.65%EV -8.05%E -3.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.93%EV -5.73%E -2.10%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -8.42%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 01:29
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -8.42%E -3.44%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.68%E -0.480%K -0.672%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:59
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.42%E -3.44%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 12:00
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 36.93%EV -8.80%E -3.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -11.95%E -4.69%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 11:19
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -10.29%E -4.29%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -1.68%E -0.480%K -0.672%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 11:59
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.29%E -4.29%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 11:59
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.29%E -4.29%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 11:58
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.29%E -4.29%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -13.68%E -5.47%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 11:14
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -12.16%E -5.17%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -3.32%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 11:09
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -12.16%E -5.17%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -3.32%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 05:44
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -12.16%E -5.17%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -3.32%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 05:44
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -12.16%E -5.17%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -3.32%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 05:44
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -12.16%E -5.17%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -3.32%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 05:44
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -12.16%E -5.17%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -3.32%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 05:44
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -12.16%E -5.17%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -3.32%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 05:44
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -12.16%E -5.17%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -3.32%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 05:45
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -12.16%E -5.17%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -3.32%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 05:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -12.16%E -5.17%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -3.32%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 05:45
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -14.03%E -6.10%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -5.04%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 05:44
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -14.03%E -6.10%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -5.04%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 05:45
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.35%EV -14.03%E -6.10%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -17.13%E -7.14%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-23 11:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -14.03%E -6.10%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -13.68%E -5.47%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -19.10%E -6.63%K -10.16%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-23 11:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 34.70%2.22I 45.05%NM 37.20%2.94I 34.01%NM 28.09%21.1%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 40.11%2.80I 35.71%NM 19.77%1.38I 72.46%NM 40.11%80.6%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 40.11%2.80I 35.71%NM 19.77%1.38I 72.46%NM 40.11%80.6%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 40.11%2.80I 35.71%NM 19.77%1.38I 72.46%NM 40.11%80.6%2026-04-24 03:45