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Shanghai SIPG FC v Shenzhen Peng City FC
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Shanghai SIPG FC (Хозяева)
Прогноз 59.01%1.69справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.63%
Преимущество -1.59%
Kelly -4.05%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.65
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
57.00%58.92%59.12%60.65%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.501.571.571.6566.67%63.68%63.69%60.61%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Shenzhen Peng City FC (Гости)
Прогноз 18.83%5.31справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.58%
Преимущество +0.650%
Kelly +0.795%
Рост +0.028%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.08%18.79%18.79%20.36%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.334.934.975.5023.09%20.29%20.10%18.18%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 22.16%4.51справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.07%
Преимущество -0.469%
Kelly -0.606%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.42
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.42%22.28%22.09%23.55%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.804.084.004.4226.32%24.51%25.00%22.62%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Shanghai SIPG FC (Хозяева): 59.01%; Shenzhen Peng City FC (Гости): 18.83%; Ничья: 22.16%. Для исхода «Shenzhen Peng City FC (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.31. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.58%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -6.76%E -4.28%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV +3.58%E +0.650%K +0.795%G +0.028% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 11:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.65%EV -9.12%E -5.92%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -0.189%E -0.036%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -6.76%E -4.28%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -1.13%E -0.215%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -1.13%E -0.215%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -1.13%E -0.215%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -1.13%E -0.215%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -1.13%E -0.215%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -1.13%E -0.215%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -1.13%E -0.215%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.25%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -1.13%E -0.215%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -12.48%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -2.07%E -0.398%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -7.94%E -5.09%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -3.96%E -0.776%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.48%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -7.94%E -5.09%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -3.96%E -0.776%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.48%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.82%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.36%EV -4.90%E -0.970%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 11:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.15%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.17%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.68%EV -2.07%E -0.469%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.95%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 11:03 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -6.76%E -4.28%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-06 11:28 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -9.71%E -6.35%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.59%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -9.71%E -6.35%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.59%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -11.48%E -7.65%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -6.76%E -4.28%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -6.78%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -8.05%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -6.76%E -4.28%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -6.78%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -8.05%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.40%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.27%EV -9.83%E -2.41%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 11:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 11:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 11:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 11:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-06 11:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.75%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.38%EV -8.66%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 11:21 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.61%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -6.17%E -3.88%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.53%EV -9.98%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 21.76%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.55%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -4.07%E -0.939%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 11:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -10.55%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.58%EV -11.48%E -7.65%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.90%EV -12.43%E -2.67%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -13.59%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -7.94%E -5.09%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.00%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.81%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-06 11:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.81%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-06 11:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.96%EV -10.30%E -6.78%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -17.14%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -9.71%E -6.35%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -18.46%E -4.26%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.96% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.96% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.96% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.11% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.52% | 1.0% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.82% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.61% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57% | 2.1% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |