La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Shanghai SIPG FC v Shenzhen Peng City FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)
Predicción 59.01%1.69momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -1.59%
Kelly -4.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.00%58.92%59.12%60.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.571.571.6566.67%63.68%63.69%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visitante)
Predicción 18.83%5.31momio equitativo
EV +3.58%
Ventaja +0.650%
Kelly +0.795%
Crecimiento +0.028%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.08%18.79%18.79%20.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.334.934.975.5023.09%20.29%20.10%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.16%4.51momio equitativo
EV -2.07%
Ventaja -0.469%
Kelly -0.606%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.42%22.28%22.09%23.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.084.004.4226.32%24.51%25.00%22.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -6.76%E -4.28%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV +3.58%E +0.650%K +0.795%G +0.028% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 11:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.65%EV -9.12%E -5.92%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -0.189%E -0.036%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Unibet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -6.76%E -4.28%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -1.13%E -0.215%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -1.13%E -0.215%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -1.13%E -0.215%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -1.13%E -0.215%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -1.13%E -0.215%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -1.13%E -0.215%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -1.13%E -0.215%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.25%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -1.13%E -0.215%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -12.48%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -2.07%E -0.398%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -7.94%E -5.09%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -3.96%E -0.776%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.48%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -7.94%E -5.09%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -3.96%E -0.776%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.48%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.82%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.36%EV -4.90%E -0.970%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 11:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.15%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.17%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.68%EV -2.07%E -0.469%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.95%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 11:03 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -6.76%E -4.28%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-06 11:28 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -9.71%E -6.35%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.59%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -9.71%E -6.35%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.59%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -11.48%E -7.65%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -6.76%E -4.28%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -6.78%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -8.05%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -6.76%E -4.28%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -6.78%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -8.05%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| GTbets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.40%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.27%EV -9.83%E -2.41%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 11:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 11:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 11:05 |
| BetUS | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 11:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-06 11:09 |
| Bovada | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.75%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.38%EV -8.66%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 11:21 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.61%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -6.17%E -3.88%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.53%EV -9.98%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 21.76%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.55%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -4.07%E -0.939%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 11:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -10.55%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.58%EV -11.48%E -7.65%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.90%EV -12.43%E -2.67%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -13.59%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| William Hill | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -7.94%E -5.09%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| Everygame | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.00%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.81%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-06 11:05 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.81%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-06 11:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.96%EV -10.30%E -6.78%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -17.14%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -9.71%E -6.35%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -18.46%E -4.26%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-06 11:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.96% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.96% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.96% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.11% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.52% | 1.0% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.82% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.61% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57% | 2.1% | 2026-05-06 11:30 |