A Escola das Odds

Shanghai SIPG FC v Shenzhen Peng City FC

Início: 2026-05-06 11:35 UTC

Final: Shanghai SIPG FC 1–1 Shenzhen Peng City FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)

Previsão 59.01%1.69odd justa
EV -2.63%
Vantagem -1.59%
Kelly -4.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.00%58.92%59.12%60.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.571.571.6566.67%63.68%63.69%60.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visitante)

Previsão 18.83%5.31odd justa
EV +3.58%
Vantagem +0.650%
Kelly +0.795%
Crescimento +0.028%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.08%18.79%18.79%20.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.334.934.975.5023.09%20.29%20.10%18.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.16%4.51odd justa
EV -2.07%
Vantagem -0.469%
Kelly -0.606%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.42%22.28%22.09%23.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.804.084.004.4226.32%24.51%25.00%22.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -6.76%E -4.28%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV +3.58%E +0.650%K +0.795%G +0.028%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 11:29
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.65%EV -9.12%E -5.92%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -0.189%E -0.036%K -0.044%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 11:25
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -6.76%E -4.28%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -1.13%E -0.215%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 13:25
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -1.13%E -0.215%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 11:30
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -1.13%E -0.215%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 13:25
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -1.13%E -0.215%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 13:25
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -1.13%E -0.215%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 13:25
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -1.13%E -0.215%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 13:25
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -1.13%E -0.215%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 13:25
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 59.25%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -1.13%E -0.215%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -12.48%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-06 11:30
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -2.07%E -0.398%K -0.493%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -7.94%E -5.09%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -3.96%E -0.776%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.48%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 13:25
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -7.94%E -5.09%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -3.96%E -0.776%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.48%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 13:25
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.82%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.36%EV -4.90%E -0.970%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 11:29
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.15%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.17%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.68%EV -2.07%E -0.469%K -0.606%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 11:30
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.95%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:03
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -6.76%E -4.28%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 11:25
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 11:24
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 11:24
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-06 11:28
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -9.71%E -6.35%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.59%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 13:25
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -9.71%E -6.35%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.59%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 13:25
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -11.48%E -7.65%K -22.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-06 11:25
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -6.76%E -4.28%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -6.78%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -8.05%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 11:24
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -6.76%E -4.28%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -6.78%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -8.05%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 11:24
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.40%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.27%EV -9.83%E -2.41%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 11:09
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 11:05
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 11:05
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 11:05
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 11:09
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 58.75%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.38%EV -8.66%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 11:21
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.61%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-06 11:25
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -6.17%E -3.88%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.53%EV -9.98%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 21.76%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 11:25
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.55%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -4.07%E -0.939%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 11:20
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -10.55%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-06 11:30
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.58%EV -11.48%E -7.65%K -22.96%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.90%EV -12.43%E -2.67%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -13.59%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-06 11:24
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-06 11:24
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-06 11:30
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-06 11:24
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-06 11:25
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -7.94%E -5.09%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-06 11:24
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 58.00%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.81%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-06 11:05
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.81%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-06 11:05
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.96%EV -10.30%E -6.78%K -19.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -17.14%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-06 11:24
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -9.71%E -6.35%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -18.46%E -4.26%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-06 11:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.96%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%0.6%2026-05-06 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.96%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%0.6%2026-05-06 11:30
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.96%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%0.6%2026-05-06 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.11%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.52%1.0%2026-05-06 11:30
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.82%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.61%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%2.1%2026-05-06 11:30