Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.40
assuming max odds 7.75
assuming max odds 5.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shanghai SIPG FC (Local): 68.48%; Dalian Yingbo (Visit): 13.65%; Draw: 17.87%. For Dalian Yingbo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.33. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.79%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.59%EV -8.23%E -6.14%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.21%EV +5.79%E +0.747%K +0.858%G +0.050% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -1.73%E -0.314%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -8.92%E -6.71%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +2.38%E +0.317%K +0.366%G +0.009% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -6.20%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 11:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -10.97%E -8.44%K -36.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV +2.38%E +0.317%K +0.366%G +0.009% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -1.73%E -0.314%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-19 11:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.92%E -6.71%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +2.38%E +0.317%K +0.366%G +0.009% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 11:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.78%EV -8.23%E -6.14%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -1.04%E -0.143%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -3.51%E -0.651%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 11:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.94%EV -8.23%E -6.14%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.02%EV -1.72%E -0.239%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -1.73%E -0.314%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 11:08 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -10.97%E -8.44%K -36.58%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -1.72%E -0.239%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -1.73%E -0.314%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-19 11:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.86%EV -4.81%E -3.46%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 7.07I 14.14%NM 13.54%EV -3.49%E -0.494%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.60%EV -2.80%E -0.515%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -4.45%E -0.636%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -6.20%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 11:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.16%EV -10.29%E -7.85%K -33.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -4.45%E -0.636%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -1.73%E -0.314%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-19 11:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -8.23%E -6.14%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.45%E -0.636%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-19 10:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -8.23%E -6.14%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.45%E -0.636%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-19 10:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -8.23%E -6.14%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.45%E -0.636%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-19 10:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -8.23%E -6.14%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.45%E -0.636%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-19 10:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -8.23%E -6.14%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.45%E -0.636%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-19 10:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -8.23%E -6.14%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.45%E -0.636%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-19 10:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -9.60%E -7.28%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -4.45%E -0.636%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -6.20%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 11:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.92%E -6.71%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -4.45%E -0.636%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 11:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.92%E -6.71%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -4.45%E -0.636%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 11:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.90%EV -8.92%E -6.71%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.48%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -7.09%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -7.86%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -6.86%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -7.86%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -8.88%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -6.86%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -7.86%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -19.60%E -4.35%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-19 11:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.26%EV -9.60%E -7.28%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.35%EV -7.86%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.39%EV -12.45%E -2.54%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-19 10:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.33%EV -10.97%E -8.44%K -36.58%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.16%EV -7.86%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -14.24%E -2.97%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-19 10:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.09%EV -4.12%E -2.95%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.29%EV -8.95%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.62%EV -3.34%E -0.617%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 11:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.95%EV -6.18%E -4.51%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -11.27%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.20%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 11:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.64%EV -8.92%E -6.71%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.27%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.11%EV +2.74%E +0.476%K +0.577%G +0.016% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -6.86%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.27%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -6.86%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -11.27%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -14.24%E -2.97%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-19 11:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -10.97%E -8.44%K -36.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -11.27%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-19 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.03%EV -11.66%E -9.04%K -40.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.50%EV -11.27%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.47%EV -15.13%E -3.19%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-19 10:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.03%EV -11.66%E -9.04%K -40.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.50%EV -11.27%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.47%EV -15.13%E -3.19%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-19 10:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.15%EV -7.55%E -5.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.47%EV -11.96%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.38%EV +1.85%E +0.324%K +0.393%G +0.007% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 11:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.24%EV -6.86%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -12.64%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.47%EV -11.56%E -2.33%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.24%EV -6.86%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -12.64%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.47%EV -11.56%E -2.33%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.38%EV -8.23%E -6.14%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.56%EV -15.37%E -2.48%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -18.10%E -3.02%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -6.20%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.86%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -18.10%E -3.02%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.86%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -18.10%E -3.02%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.86%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -18.10%E -3.02%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.39%EV -7.55%E -5.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.94%EV -18.10%E -3.02%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -14.24%E -2.97%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.39%EV -7.55%E -5.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.94%EV -18.10%E -3.02%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -14.24%E -2.97%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.72%EV -10.97%E -8.44%K -36.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -18.10%E -3.02%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-19 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.05%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -20.83%E -3.59%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.23%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.61%EV -6.18%E -4.51%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.05%EV -23.56%E -4.21%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.34%EV -12.45%E -2.54%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.70% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.11% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18% | 0.3% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.05% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.09% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.45% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.42% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12% | 0.7% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.85% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.58% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.74% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68% | 1.9% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |