Idioma:Español
Shanghai SIPG FC v Dalian Yingbo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)
Predicción 68.48%1.46momio equitativo
EV -4.12%
Ventaja -2.95%
Kelly -10.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.61%68.44%68.64%70.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.291.341.341.4077.52%74.49%74.63%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Dalian Yingbo (Visitante)
Predicción 13.65%7.33momio equitativo
EV +5.79%
Ventaja +0.747%
Kelly +0.858%
Crecimiento +0.050%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.21%13.74%13.57%16.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.606.696.757.7517.86%14.96%14.81%12.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 17.87%5.60momio equitativo
EV +2.74%
Ventaja +0.476%
Kelly +0.577%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.11%17.82%17.79%20.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.505.105.005.7522.22%19.60%20.00%17.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Shanghai SIPG FC (Local): 68.48%; Dalian Yingbo (Visitante): 13.65%; Empate: 17.87%. Para Dalian Yingbo (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.33. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.79%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.59%EV -8.23%E -6.14%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.21%EV +5.79%E +0.747%K +0.858%G +0.050% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -1.73%E -0.314%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -8.92%E -6.71%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +2.38%E +0.317%K +0.366%G +0.009% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -6.20%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 11:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -10.97%E -8.44%K -36.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV +2.38%E +0.317%K +0.366%G +0.009% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -1.73%E -0.314%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-19 11:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.92%E -6.71%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +2.38%E +0.317%K +0.366%G +0.009% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 11:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.78%EV -8.23%E -6.14%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -1.04%E -0.143%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -3.51%E -0.651%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 11:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.94%EV -8.23%E -6.14%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.02%EV -1.72%E -0.239%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -1.73%E -0.314%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 11:08 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -10.97%E -8.44%K -36.58%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -1.72%E -0.239%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -1.73%E -0.314%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-19 11:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.86%EV -4.81%E -3.46%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 7.07I 14.14%NM 13.54%EV -3.49%E -0.494%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.60%EV -2.80%E -0.515%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -4.45%E -0.636%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -6.20%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 11:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.16%EV -10.29%E -7.85%K -33.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -4.45%E -0.636%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -1.73%E -0.314%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-19 11:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -8.23%E -6.14%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.45%E -0.636%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-19 10:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -8.23%E -6.14%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.45%E -0.636%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-19 10:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -8.23%E -6.14%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.45%E -0.636%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-19 10:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -8.23%E -6.14%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.45%E -0.636%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-19 10:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -8.23%E -6.14%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.45%E -0.636%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-19 10:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -8.23%E -6.14%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.45%E -0.636%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-19 10:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -9.60%E -7.28%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -4.45%E -0.636%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -6.20%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 11:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.92%E -6.71%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -4.45%E -0.636%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 11:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.92%E -6.71%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -4.45%E -0.636%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 11:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.90%EV -8.92%E -6.71%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.48%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -7.09%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -7.86%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -6.86%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -7.86%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -8.88%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -6.86%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -7.86%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -19.60%E -4.35%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-19 11:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.26%EV -9.60%E -7.28%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.35%EV -7.86%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.39%EV -12.45%E -2.54%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-19 10:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.33%EV -10.97%E -8.44%K -36.58%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.16%EV -7.86%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -14.24%E -2.97%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-19 10:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.09%EV -4.12%E -2.95%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.29%EV -8.95%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.62%EV -3.34%E -0.617%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 11:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.95%EV -6.18%E -4.51%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -11.27%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.20%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 11:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.64%EV -8.92%E -6.71%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.27%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.11%EV +2.74%E +0.476%K +0.577%G +0.016% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -6.86%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.27%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -6.86%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -11.27%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -14.24%E -2.97%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-19 11:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -10.97%E -8.44%K -36.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -11.27%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-19 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.03%EV -11.66%E -9.04%K -40.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.50%EV -11.27%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.47%EV -15.13%E -3.19%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-19 10:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.03%EV -11.66%E -9.04%K -40.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.50%EV -11.27%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.47%EV -15.13%E -3.19%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-19 10:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.15%EV -7.55%E -5.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.47%EV -11.96%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.38%EV +1.85%E +0.324%K +0.393%G +0.007% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 11:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.24%EV -6.86%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -12.64%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.47%EV -11.56%E -2.33%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.24%EV -6.86%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -12.64%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.47%EV -11.56%E -2.33%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.38%EV -8.23%E -6.14%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.56%EV -15.37%E -2.48%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -18.10%E -3.02%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -6.20%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.86%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -18.10%E -3.02%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.86%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -18.10%E -3.02%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -6.86%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -18.10%E -3.02%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.39%EV -7.55%E -5.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.94%EV -18.10%E -3.02%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -14.24%E -2.97%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.39%EV -7.55%E -5.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.94%EV -18.10%E -3.02%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -14.24%E -2.97%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.72%EV -10.97%E -8.44%K -36.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -18.10%E -3.02%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-19 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.05%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -20.83%E -3.59%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.23%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.61%EV -6.18%E -4.51%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.05%EV -23.56%E -4.21%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.34%EV -12.45%E -2.54%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.70% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.11% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18% | 0.3% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.05% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.09% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.45% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.42% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12% | 0.7% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.85% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.58% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.74% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68% | 1.9% | 2026-08-19 11:30 |