Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.87
assuming max odds 4.06
assuming max odds 4.25
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local): 51.85%; Henan FC (Visit): 25.16%; Draw: 22.98%. For Henan FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.16%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.08%EV +2.16%E +0.532%K +0.706%G +0.015% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.08%EV -6.68%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.97%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -3.38%E -0.879%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -6.91%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.10%EV -3.04%E -1.62%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.95%EV -3.63%E -0.947%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.95%EV -8.29%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.23%EV -4.59%E -2.49%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.16%EV -3.88%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.61%EV -2.32%E -0.545%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 11:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.47%E -0.825%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 11:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.76%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.06%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.26%EV -6.15%E -3.40%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -3.47%E -0.825%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -3.47%E -0.825%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.68%EV -6.15%E -3.40%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.06%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 11:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -8.22%E -4.64%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -16.11%E -4.41%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 11:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.90%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -5.76%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 11:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -6.90%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.06%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 11:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -5.63%E -3.09%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.90%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.06%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 11:53 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -8.22%E -4.64%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.90%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -8.06%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 11:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.02%EV -6.15%E -3.40%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -8.16%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.02%EV -6.15%E -3.40%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -8.16%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.02%EV -6.15%E -3.40%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -8.16%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.02%EV -6.15%E -3.40%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -8.16%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.02%EV -6.15%E -3.40%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -8.16%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.02%EV -6.15%E -3.40%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -8.16%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.02%EV -6.15%E -3.40%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -8.16%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.30%EV -7.18%E -4.01%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.16%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.16%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -11.51%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.16%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -11.51%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.41%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.32%E -0.545%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -8.22%E -4.64%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.41%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -3.47%E -0.825%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.41%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.06%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.22%E -4.64%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.41%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.06%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 11:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.41%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 11:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.41%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 11:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.41%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.41%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.41%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.41%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -12.66%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.38%EV -7.70%E -4.33%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -10.67%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.06%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.03%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -10.67%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -13.81%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.06%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 11:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.06%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 11:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.06%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 11:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.96%E -4.04%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.96%E -4.04%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.27%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -13.19%E -3.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.87%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 11:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.81%E -6.29%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.19%E -3.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -14.96%E -4.04%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.81%E -6.29%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.19%E -3.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -14.96%E -4.04%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 48.93%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -24.51%E -8.17%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.53%EV -12.66%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 46.84%EV -4.59%E -2.49%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.22%EV -25.77%E -8.74%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.94%EV -17.26%E -4.79%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-08-10 06:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.88% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.88% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.57% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.57% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |