Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Henan FC

Inizio: 2026-08-15 12:00 UTC

Finale: Shanghai Shenhua FC 4–1 Henan FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

47 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Casa)

Previsione 51.85%1.93quota equa
EV -3.04%
Vantaggio -1.62%
Kelly -3.49%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.84%51.82%51.95%53.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.721.791.801.8758.14%55.93%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Henan FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.16%3.97quota equa
EV +2.16%
Vantaggio +0.532%
Kelly +0.706%
Crescita +0.015%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.08%25.22%25.14%29.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.623.654.0633.90%27.62%27.40%24.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 22.98%4.35quota equa
EV -2.32%
Vantaggio -0.545%
Kelly -0.713%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.02%22.96%22.91%24.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.943.904.2527.78%25.36%25.64%23.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Shanghai Shenhua FC (Casa): 51.85%; Henan FC (Trasferta): 25.16%; Pareggio: 22.98%. Per Henan FC (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.97. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 4.06, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.16%.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.08%EV +2.16%E +0.532%K +0.706%G +0.015%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.08%EV -6.68%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.97%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -3.38%E -0.879%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -6.91%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 11:55
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.10%EV -3.04%E -1.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.95%EV -3.63%E -0.947%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.95%EV -8.29%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 11:55
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.23%EV -4.59%E -2.49%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.16%EV -3.88%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.61%EV -2.32%E -0.545%K -0.713%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 11:45
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.47%E -0.825%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 11:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.76%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 11:55
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.06%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 11:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.26%EV -6.15%E -3.40%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -3.47%E -0.825%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 11:55
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -3.47%E -0.825%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 11:55
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.68%EV -6.15%E -3.40%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.06%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 11:45
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -8.22%E -4.64%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -16.11%E -4.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 11:54
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.90%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -5.76%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 11:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -6.90%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.06%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:54
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -5.63%E -3.09%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.90%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.06%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:53
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -8.22%E -4.64%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.90%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -8.06%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 11:44
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.02%EV -6.15%E -3.40%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -8.16%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.02%EV -6.15%E -3.40%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -8.16%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.02%EV -6.15%E -3.40%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -8.16%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:29
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.02%EV -6.15%E -3.40%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -8.16%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:30
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.02%EV -6.15%E -3.40%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -8.16%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:30
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.02%EV -6.15%E -3.40%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -8.16%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:29
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.02%EV -6.15%E -3.40%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -8.16%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.30%EV -7.18%E -4.01%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.16%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:55
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.16%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -11.51%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:55
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.16%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -11.51%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.41%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.32%E -0.545%K -0.713%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 11:55
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -8.22%E -4.64%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.41%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -3.47%E -0.825%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 11:55
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.41%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.06%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:55
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.22%E -4.64%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.41%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.06%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 11:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.41%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 11:48
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.41%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 11:54
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.41%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.41%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.41%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 11:55
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.41%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -12.66%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 11:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.38%EV -7.70%E -4.33%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -10.67%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.06%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.03%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -10.67%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -13.81%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 11:29
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.06%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:54
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.06%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:44
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.06%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:44
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.96%E -4.04%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.96%E -4.04%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 11:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.27%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -13.19%E -3.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.87%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 11:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.81%E -6.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.19%E -3.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -14.96%E -4.04%K -5.54%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-15 11:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.81%E -6.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.19%E -3.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -14.96%E -4.04%K -5.54%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-15 11:30
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 48.93%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -24.51%E -8.17%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.53%EV -12.66%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-15 11:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 46.84%EV -4.59%E -2.49%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.22%EV -25.77%E -8.74%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.94%EV -17.26%E -4.79%K -6.64%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-10 06:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.88%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.1%2026-08-15 11:55
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.88%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.1%2026-08-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86%1.7%2026-08-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86%1.7%2026-08-15 11:55
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%3.0%2026-08-15 11:55