The School of Odds

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Yunnan Yukun

2026-07-10 11:35 — Super League - China

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (13 in analysis)

Option 1: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)

1.5066.67%Min
1.5863.25%Mean
1.5863.09%Median
1.6361.35%Max
56.34%1.775Min
59.94%1.668Max
58.19%1.719Mean
58.23%1.717Median
58.15%1.720IQM
58.28%1.716Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.63 under the IQM model: 58.15%

EV -5.21%Edge -3.20%Kelly -8.28%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Yunnan Yukun (Visit)

3.7526.67%Min
4.4022.70%Mean
4.4022.73%Median
4.8020.83%Max
19.60%5.101Min
22.54%4.438Max
20.74%4.822Mean
20.75%4.820Median
20.81%4.806IQM
20.67%4.837Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.80 under the IQM model: 20.81%

EV -0.132%Edge -0.027%Kelly -0.035%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

4.0025.00%Min
4.3622.95%Mean
4.3822.86%Median
4.6321.60%Max
20.15%4.964Min
21.99%4.547Max
21.08%4.745Mean
21.02%4.757Median
21.04%4.752IQM
21.05%4.751Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.63 under the IQM model: 21.04%

EV -2.57%Edge -0.555%Kelly -0.708%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

BookmakerShandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local) ▼Yunnan Yukun (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.63I 61.35% NM 58.58%EV -5.21% E -3.20% K -8.28% G +0.000%4.64I 21.55% NM 20.58%EV -3.46% E -0.746% K -0.951% G +0.000%4.58I 21.83% NM 20.85%EV -3.62% E -0.791% K -1.01% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 14:34
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73% NM 57.31%EV -5.80% E -3.58% K -9.35% G +0.000%4.35I 22.99% NM 21.34%EV -9.49% E -2.18% K -2.83% G +0.000%4.35I 22.99% NM 21.34%EV -8.46% E -1.94% K -2.53% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-05 11:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73% NM 57.02%EV -5.80% E -3.58% K -9.35% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.99%EV -8.45% E -1.92% K -2.49% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.99%EV -11.62% E -2.77% K -3.63% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 14:20
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11% NM 58.63%EV -6.38% E -3.96% K -10.45% G +0.000%4.62I 21.65% NM 20.43%EV -3.88% E -0.839% K -1.07% G +0.000%4.51I 22.17% NM 20.93%EV -5.09% E -1.13% K -1.45% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 14:15
888sport1.61I 62.11% NM 57.17%EV -6.38% E -3.96% K -10.45% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.92%EV -8.45% E -1.92% K -2.49% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.91%EV -11.62% E -2.77% K -3.63% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 14:20
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11% NM 57.17%EV -6.38% E -3.96% K -10.45% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.92%EV -8.45% E -1.92% K -2.49% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.91%EV -11.62% E -2.77% K -3.63% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 14:20
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11% NM 57.17%EV -6.38% E -3.96% K -10.45% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.92%EV -8.45% E -1.92% K -2.49% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.91%EV -11.62% E -2.77% K -3.63% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 14:20
Coolbet1.60I 62.50% NM 59.09%EV -6.96% E -4.35% K -11.60% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.90%EV -1.17% E -0.247% K -0.313% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 21.01%EV -5.30% E -1.18% K -1.52% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 11:50
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50% NM 58.44%EV -6.96% E -4.35% K -11.60% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.78%EV -6.37% E -1.42% K -1.82% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.78%EV -5.30% E -1.18% K -1.52% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 12:05
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50% NM 57.89%EV -6.96% E -4.35% K -11.60% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.05%EV -8.45% E -1.92% K -2.49% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.05%EV -7.41% E -1.68% K -2.18% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 11:50
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50% NM 57.89%EV -6.96% E -4.35% K -11.60% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.05%EV -8.45% E -1.92% K -2.49% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.05%EV -7.41% E -1.68% K -2.18% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 11:50
NordicBet1.60I 62.50% NM 57.62%EV -6.96% E -4.35% K -11.60% G +0.000%4.35I 22.99% NM 21.19%EV -9.49% E -2.18% K -2.83% G +0.000%4.35I 22.99% NM 21.19%EV -8.46% E -1.94% K -2.53% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 14:35
Betsson1.60I 62.50% NM 57.62%EV -6.96% E -4.35% K -11.60% G +0.000%4.35I 22.99% NM 21.19%EV -9.49% E -2.18% K -2.83% G +0.000%4.35I 22.99% NM 21.19%EV -8.46% E -1.94% K -2.53% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 14:33
Betway1.60I 62.50% NM 57.13%EV -6.96% E -4.35% K -11.60% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.76%EV -12.62% E -3.00% K -3.94% G +0.000%4.33I 23.09% NM 21.11%EV -8.88% E -2.05% K -2.67% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-05 11:40
DraftKings1.59I 62.89% NM 58.32%EV -7.54% E -4.74% K -12.78% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.61%EV -6.37% E -1.42% K -1.82% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.07%EV -7.41% E -1.68% K -2.18% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 01:40
GTbets1.58I 63.29% NM 59.03%EV -8.12% E -5.14% K -14.00% G +0.000%4.48I 22.32% NM 20.82%EV -6.79% E -1.52% K -1.95% G +0.000%4.63I 21.60% NM 20.15%EV -2.57% E -0.555% K -0.708% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 13:54
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29% NM 58.61%EV -8.12% E -5.14% K -14.00% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.58%EV -6.37% E -1.42% K -1.82% G +0.000%4.45I 22.47% NM 20.81%EV -6.36% E -1.43% K -1.84% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 14:29
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29% NM 57.07%EV -8.12% E -5.14% K -14.00% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.47%EV -12.62% E -3.00% K -3.94% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.47%EV -11.62% E -2.77% K -3.63% G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-05 11:50
SportsBet1.57I 63.69% NM 59.94%EV -8.70% E -5.54% K -15.27% G +0.000%4.80I 20.83% NM 19.60%EV -0.132% E -0.027% K -0.035% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.46%EV -3.20% E -0.696% K -0.889% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 11:50
FanDuel1.57I 63.69% NM 59.94%EV -8.70% E -5.54% K -15.27% G +0.000%4.80I 20.83% NM 19.60%EV -0.132% E -0.027% K -0.035% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.46%EV -3.20% E -0.696% K -0.889% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 11:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69% NM 59.54%EV -8.70% E -5.54% K -15.27% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.68%EV -1.17% E -0.247% K -0.313% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.77%EV -5.30% E -1.18% K -1.52% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 13:45
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69% NM 58.43%EV -8.70% E -5.54% K -15.27% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.39%EV -6.37% E -1.42% K -1.82% G +0.000%4.33I 23.09% NM 21.19%EV -8.88% E -2.05% K -2.67% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 11:50
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69% NM 57.65%EV -8.70% E -5.54% K -15.27% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.55%EV -12.62% E -3.00% K -3.94% G +0.000%4.35I 22.99% NM 20.81%EV -8.46% E -1.94% K -2.53% G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-05 13:54
Bet Right1.56I 64.10% NM 58.78%EV -9.29% E -5.95% K -16.58% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.38%EV -6.37% E -1.42% K -1.82% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.84%EV -7.41% E -1.68% K -2.18% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 11:50
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10% NM 56.77%EV -9.29% E -5.95% K -16.58% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.14%EV -16.78% E -4.19% K -5.59% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.09%EV -11.62% E -2.77% K -3.63% G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-04 14:35
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52% NM 59.20%EV -9.87% E -6.37% K -17.94% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 19.95%EV -4.29% E -0.933% K -1.19% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.85%EV -7.41% E -1.68% K -2.18% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94% NM 57.10%EV -10.45% E -6.78% K -19.35% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 21.45%EV -14.70% E -3.58% K -4.74% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 21.45%EV -13.72% E -3.35% K -4.43% G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-04 14:35
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36% NM 59.52%EV -11.03% E -7.21% K -20.81% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.24%EV -6.37% E -1.42% K -1.82% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.24%EV -5.30% E -1.18% K -1.52% G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 11:35
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67% NM 56.51%EV -12.77% E -8.52% K -25.55% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 22.30%EV -20.94% E -5.51% K -7.48% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 21.19%EV -15.83% E -3.96% K -5.28% G +0.000%18.0%2026-07-04 12:40
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67% NM 56.34%EV -12.77% E -8.52% K -25.55% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 22.54%EV -21.98% E -5.86% K -7.99% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 21.13%EV -15.83% E -3.96% K -5.28% G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-04 14:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth