Language:English
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Yunnan Yukun
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)
Prediction 55.98%1.79fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.87%55.98%55.94%57.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.651.651.7564.52%60.57%60.61%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yunnan Yukun (Visit)
Prediction 23.15%4.32fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.381%
Kelly -0.498%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.99%23.12%23.19%25.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.984.004.2529.41%25.12%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.87%4.79fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -0.869%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.74%20.91%20.88%22.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.394.404.6025.00%22.76%22.73%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local): 55.98%; Yunnan Yukun (Visit): 23.15%; Draw: 20.87%. For Yunnan Yukun (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.25, with an expected value of -1.62%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.44%EV -2.03%E -1.16%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.80%EV -8.80%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 15:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.38%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -1.62%E -0.381%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.07%EV -5.04%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 11:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 10:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.40%EV -5.39%E -3.19%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -1.62%E -0.381%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 10:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.40%EV -5.39%E -3.19%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -1.62%E -0.381%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 10:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-10 11:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-10 11:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.63%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.78%EV -9.03%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.59%EV -5.25%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 11:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.87%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -10.88%E -2.83%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -16.52%E -4.13%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-10 11:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -4.00%E -0.869%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 10:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.17%E -1.86%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 11:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-10 10:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-10 10:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-10 10:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.35%E -2.94%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-10 10:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.35%E -2.94%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-10 10:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.35%E -2.94%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-10 10:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.35%E -2.94%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-10 10:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -13.19%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -9.63%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-10 10:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.82%EV -7.07%E -4.26%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -6.25%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -9.21%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-10 10:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47%EV -7.07%E -4.26%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.17%E -1.86%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 11:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -7.07%E -4.26%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -10.88%E -2.83%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.17%E -1.86%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-10 11:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -7.63%E -4.62%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.56%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -7.13%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-10 10:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -7.63%E -4.62%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.56%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -7.13%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-10 10:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.63%E -4.62%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.17%E -1.86%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-10 11:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.63%E -4.62%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.17%E -1.86%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-10 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -7.63%E -4.62%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -13.19%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.35%E -2.94%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-10 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -7.63%E -4.62%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -13.19%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.35%E -2.94%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-10 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.68%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-10 10:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.68%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-10 10:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.68%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-10 10:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.68%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-10 10:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.68%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-10 10:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.68%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-10 10:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.68%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -12.04%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-10 10:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.83%EV -8.75%E -5.37%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-10 10:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -8.75%E -5.37%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -8.17%E -1.86%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-10 10:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02%EV -9.31%E -5.75%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -2.78%E -0.661%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -8.17%E -1.86%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-10 11:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -9.31%E -5.75%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.17%E -1.86%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-10 11:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.88%EV -9.31%E -5.75%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.91%EV -9.63%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-10 10:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.31%E -5.75%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -12.35%E -2.94%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-10 11:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.31%E -5.75%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -12.35%E -2.94%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-10 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.86%EV -9.87%E -6.13%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -8.17%E -1.86%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-10 10:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.05%EV -10.43%E -6.52%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -16.67%E -4.63%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -10.26%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-10 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.88%EV -11.55%E -7.31%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.66%EV -9.21%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-10 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.88%EV -11.55%E -7.31%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.66%EV -9.21%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-10 10:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.13%EV -13.23%E -8.53%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -21.30%E -6.26%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.74%EV -9.63%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-07-10 10:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.17% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.72% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07% | 1.0% | 2026-07-10 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07% | 1.0% | 2026-07-10 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07% | 1.0% | 2026-07-10 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.38% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.25% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.37% | 3.1% | 2026-07-10 11:30 |
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