Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Yunnan Yukun

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-10 11:35 UTC

Score final : Shandong Luneng Taishan FC 4–3 Yunnan Yukun

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)

Prévision 55.98%1.79cote équitable
EV -2.03%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -2.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.87%55.98%55.94%57.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.651.651.7564.52%60.57%60.61%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Yunnan Yukun (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.15%4.32cote équitable
EV -1.62%
Avantage -0.381%
Kelly -0.498%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.99%23.12%23.19%25.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.984.004.2529.41%25.12%25.00%23.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.87%4.79cote équitable
EV -4.00%
Avantage -0.869%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.74%20.91%20.88%22.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.394.404.6025.00%22.76%22.73%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local) : 55.98% ; Yunnan Yukun (Visiteur) : 23.15% ; Match nul : 20.87%. Pour Yunnan Yukun (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.32. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.25, pour une espérance de -1.62% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.44%EV -2.03%E -1.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.80%EV -8.80%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:24
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.38%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -1.62%E -0.381%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.07%EV -5.04%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 11:30
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 10:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.40%EV -5.39%E -3.19%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -1.62%E -0.381%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 10:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.40%EV -5.39%E -3.19%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -1.62%E -0.381%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 10:39
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 11:15
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 11:14
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.63%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.78%EV -9.03%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.59%EV -5.25%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 11:24
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.87%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -10.88%E -2.83%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -16.52%E -4.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-10 11:24
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -4.00%E -0.869%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 10:59
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.17%E -1.86%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 11:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 10:54
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 10:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-10 10:29
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.35%E -2.94%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 10:40
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.35%E -2.94%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 10:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.35%E -2.94%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 10:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.35%E -2.94%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 10:40
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -13.19%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -9.63%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-10 10:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.82%EV -7.07%E -4.26%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -6.25%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -9.21%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 10:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47%EV -7.07%E -4.26%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.17%E -1.86%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 11:00
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -7.07%E -4.26%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -10.88%E -2.83%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.17%E -1.86%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-10 11:05
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -7.63%E -4.62%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.56%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -7.13%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-10 10:55
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -7.63%E -4.62%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.56%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -7.13%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-10 10:54
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.63%E -4.62%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.17%E -1.86%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-10 11:30
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.63%E -4.62%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.17%E -1.86%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-10 11:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -7.63%E -4.62%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -13.19%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.35%E -2.94%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-10 11:20
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -7.63%E -4.62%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -13.19%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.35%E -2.94%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-10 11:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.68%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 10:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.68%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 10:44
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.68%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 10:44
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.68%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 10:44
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.68%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 10:40
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.68%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 10:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.68%EV -8.19%E -4.99%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -12.04%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-10 10:55
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.83%EV -8.75%E -5.37%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.08%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-10 10:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -8.75%E -5.37%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -8.17%E -1.86%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-10 10:54
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02%EV -9.31%E -5.75%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -2.78%E -0.661%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -8.17%E -1.86%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 11:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -9.31%E -5.75%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.17%E -1.86%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-10 11:30
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.88%EV -9.31%E -5.75%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.91%EV -9.63%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-10 10:54
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.31%E -5.75%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -12.35%E -2.94%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-10 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.31%E -5.75%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -12.35%E -2.94%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-10 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.86%EV -9.87%E -6.13%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -8.17%E -1.86%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-10 10:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.05%EV -10.43%E -6.52%K -17.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -16.67%E -4.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -10.26%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-10 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.88%EV -11.55%E -7.31%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.66%EV -9.21%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-10 10:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.88%EV -11.55%E -7.31%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.66%EV -9.21%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-10 10:44
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 55.13%EV -13.23%E -8.53%K -24.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -21.30%E -6.26%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.74%EV -9.63%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%17.0%2026-07-10 10:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.17%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.72%0.5%2026-07-10 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-07-10 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-07-10 11:30
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-07-10 11:30
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.38%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.25%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.37%3.1%2026-07-10 11:30