Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Wuhan Three Towns

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 11:35 UTC

Final: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC 3–3 Wuhan Three Towns

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)

Prediction 65.57%1.53fair odd
EV -4.92%
Edge -3.40%
Kelly -10.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.38%65.72%65.59%68.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.401.401.4577.52%71.29%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wuhan Three Towns (Visit)

Prediction 15.62%6.40fair odd
EV +9.34%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +1.56%
Growth +0.145%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.43%15.53%15.64%17.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.006.016.007.0020.00%16.64%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.81%5.32fair odd
EV +0.820%
Edge +0.153%
Kelly +0.188%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 5.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.59%18.74%18.77%20.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.814.805.3623.09%20.77%20.83%18.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local): 65.57%; Wuhan Three Towns (Visit): 15.62%; Draw: 18.81%. For Wuhan Three Towns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.40. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -11.48%E -8.50%K -32.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV +9.34%E +1.33%K +1.56%G +0.145%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 67.47%EV -15.41%E -11.95%K -53.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.43%EV +9.34%E +1.33%K +1.56%G +0.145%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.10%EV -18.55%E -4.29%K -5.57%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-24 07:49
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -8.20%E -5.86%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +5.44%E +0.805%K +0.945%G +0.051%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 11:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -9.51%E -6.89%K -25.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV +5.44%E +0.805%K +0.945%G +0.051%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -7.83%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 11:29
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.78%EV -7.55%E -5.35%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.64I 15.06%NM 14.39%EV +3.72%E +0.560%K +0.659%G +0.025%5.36I 18.66%NM 17.83%EV +0.820%E +0.153%K +0.188%G +0.002%4.6%2026-05-24 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -8.20%E -5.86%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +1.53%E +0.235%K +0.278%G +0.004%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 11:30
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.06%EV -10.17%E -7.42%K -27.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +1.53%E +0.235%K +0.278%G +0.004%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -0.309%E -0.058%K -0.072%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 11:19
Bet Right🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -9.51%E -6.89%K -25.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV +1.53%E +0.235%K +0.278%G +0.004%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -10.65%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 11:30
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.82%E -7.96%K -30.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV +1.53%E +0.235%K +0.278%G +0.004%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 11:09
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.82%E -7.96%K -30.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV +1.53%E +0.235%K +0.278%G +0.004%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 11:20
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.89%E -4.85%K -16.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -0.032%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -11.59%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.89%E -4.85%K -16.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -0.032%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -11.59%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:30
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.89%E -4.85%K -16.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -0.032%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -11.59%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:30
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.89%E -4.85%K -16.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -0.032%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -11.59%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:30
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.89%E -4.85%K -16.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -0.032%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -11.59%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.20%E -5.86%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -2.37%E -0.380%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -13.48%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 11:30
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.20%E -5.86%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -2.37%E -0.380%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -13.48%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 11:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.63%EV -10.17%E -7.42%K -27.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -2.37%E -0.380%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.98%EV -15.36%E -3.41%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 11:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.63%EV -10.17%E -7.42%K -27.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -2.37%E -0.380%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.98%EV -15.36%E -3.41%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.75%EV -7.55%E -5.35%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.32%EV -5.50%E -0.909%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.92%EV -7.83%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 11:29
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.60%EV -6.23%E -4.36%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.28%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 11:30
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.60%EV -6.23%E -4.36%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.28%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 11:30
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -8.20%E -5.86%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -6.28%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.71%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 11:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -8.20%E -5.86%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -6.28%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.71%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 11:30
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -12.79%E -9.62%K -38.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -6.28%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 11:20
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.58%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.98I 16.72%NM 15.66%EV -6.59%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.76%EV -10.84%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 11:30
GTbets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.89%E -4.85%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 15.75%EV -7.69%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.72%EV -6.52%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.94%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.23%EV -9.40%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.94%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.23%EV -9.40%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 11:30
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.10%EV -8.20%E -5.86%K -20.50%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -9.40%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -10.65%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -10.18%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:29
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.28%EV -6.23%E -4.36%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.18%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.49%EV -5.01%E -0.992%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 11:29
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.28%EV -6.23%E -4.36%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.18%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.49%EV -5.01%E -0.992%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 11:30
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.01%EV -8.20%E -5.86%K -20.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -10.18%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -10.65%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 11:30
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -8.20%E -5.86%K -20.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -10.18%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -13.48%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 11:30
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.94%EV -6.23%E -4.36%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.29%EV -10.97%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.76%EV -6.89%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 11:30
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.94%EV -6.23%E -4.36%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.29%EV -10.97%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.76%EV -6.89%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 11:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.54%EV -6.89%E -4.85%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -12.53%E -2.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.09%EV -9.71%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 11:30
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -14.09%E -2.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -13.48%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -14.09%E -2.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -13.48%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -14.09%E -2.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -13.48%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 11:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.80%EV -7.55%E -5.35%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -15.65%E -2.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 11:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.29%EV -10.82%E -7.96%K -30.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.50%EV -17.21%E -3.25%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.22%EV -14.42%E -3.17%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-24 11:30
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -8.20%E -5.86%K -20.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -17.99%E -3.43%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -15.36%E -3.41%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-24 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -8.20%E -5.86%K -20.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -17.99%E -3.43%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -15.36%E -3.41%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-24 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.93%EV -9.51%E -6.89%K -25.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.30%EV -20.34%E -3.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.77%EV -11.59%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-24 11:30
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.17%EV -10.82%E -7.96%K -30.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.45%EV -21.90%E -4.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.37%EV -10.65%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-24 11:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 68.11%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.81%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08%0.6%2026-05-24 11:30
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 68.11%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.81%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08%0.6%2026-05-24 11:30
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 68.31%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82%1.0%2026-05-24 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%1.0%2026-05-24 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%1.0%2026-05-24 11:30