L’École des cotes

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Wuhan Three Towns

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 11:35 UTC

Score final : Shandong Luneng Taishan FC 3–3 Wuhan Three Towns

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)

Prévision 65.57%1.53cote équitable
EV -4.92%
Avantage -3.40%
Kelly -10.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.38%65.72%65.59%68.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.401.401.4577.52%71.29%71.43%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wuhan Three Towns (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.62%6.40cote équitable
EV +9.34%
Avantage +1.33%
Kelly +1.56%
Croissance +0.145%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.43%15.53%15.64%17.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.006.016.007.0020.00%16.64%16.67%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.81%5.32cote équitable
EV +0.820%
Avantage +0.153%
Kelly +0.188%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 5.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.59%18.74%18.77%20.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.814.805.3623.09%20.77%20.83%18.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -11.48%E -8.50%K -32.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV +9.34%E +1.33%K +1.56%G +0.145%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.47%EV -15.41%E -11.95%K -53.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.43%EV +9.34%E +1.33%K +1.56%G +0.145%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.10%EV -18.55%E -4.29%K -5.57%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-24 07:49
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -8.20%E -5.86%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +5.44%E +0.805%K +0.945%G +0.051%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -9.51%E -6.89%K -25.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV +5.44%E +0.805%K +0.945%G +0.051%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -7.83%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 11:29
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 67.78%EV -7.55%E -5.35%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.64I 15.06%NM 14.39%EV +3.72%E +0.560%K +0.659%G +0.025%5.36I 18.66%NM 17.83%EV +0.820%E +0.153%K +0.188%G +0.002%4.6%2026-05-24 11:20
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -8.20%E -5.86%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +1.53%E +0.235%K +0.278%G +0.004%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 11:30
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 68.06%EV -10.17%E -7.42%K -27.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +1.53%E +0.235%K +0.278%G +0.004%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -0.309%E -0.058%K -0.072%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 11:19
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -9.51%E -6.89%K -25.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV +1.53%E +0.235%K +0.278%G +0.004%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -10.65%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 11:30
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.82%E -7.96%K -30.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV +1.53%E +0.235%K +0.278%G +0.004%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 11:09
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.82%E -7.96%K -30.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV +1.53%E +0.235%K +0.278%G +0.004%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 11:20
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.89%E -4.85%K -16.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -0.032%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -11.59%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:30
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.89%E -4.85%K -16.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -0.032%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -11.59%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:30
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.89%E -4.85%K -16.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -0.032%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -11.59%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:30
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.89%E -4.85%K -16.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -0.032%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -11.59%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:30
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.89%E -4.85%K -16.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -0.032%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -11.59%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.20%E -5.86%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -2.37%E -0.380%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -13.48%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 11:30
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.20%E -5.86%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -2.37%E -0.380%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -13.48%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 11:30
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 65.63%EV -10.17%E -7.42%K -27.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -2.37%E -0.380%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.98%EV -15.36%E -3.41%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 11:30
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 65.63%EV -10.17%E -7.42%K -27.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -2.37%E -0.380%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.98%EV -15.36%E -3.41%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 11:30
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.75%EV -7.55%E -5.35%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.32%EV -5.50%E -0.909%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.92%EV -7.83%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 11:29
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 65.60%EV -6.23%E -4.36%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.28%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 11:30
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 65.60%EV -6.23%E -4.36%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.28%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 11:30
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -8.20%E -5.86%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -6.28%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.71%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 11:30
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -8.20%E -5.86%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -6.28%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.71%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 11:30
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -12.79%E -9.62%K -38.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -6.28%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 11:20
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.58%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.98I 16.72%NM 15.66%EV -6.59%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.76%EV -10.84%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 11:30
GTbets1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.89%E -4.85%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 15.75%EV -7.69%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.72%EV -6.52%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 11:30
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 64.94%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.23%EV -9.40%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 64.94%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.23%EV -9.40%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 11:30
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.10%EV -8.20%E -5.86%K -20.50%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -9.40%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -10.65%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 11:30
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%EV -4.92%E -3.40%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -10.18%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:29
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 65.28%EV -6.23%E -4.36%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.18%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.49%EV -5.01%E -0.992%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 11:29
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 65.28%EV -6.23%E -4.36%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.18%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.49%EV -5.01%E -0.992%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 11:30
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 65.01%EV -8.20%E -5.86%K -20.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -10.18%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -10.65%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 11:30
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -8.20%E -5.86%K -20.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -10.18%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -13.48%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 11:30
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.94%EV -6.23%E -4.36%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.29%EV -10.97%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.76%EV -6.89%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 11:30
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 64.94%EV -6.23%E -4.36%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.29%EV -10.97%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.76%EV -6.89%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 11:30
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.54%EV -6.89%E -4.85%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -12.53%E -2.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.09%EV -9.71%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 11:30
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -14.09%E -2.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -13.48%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 11:30
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -14.09%E -2.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -13.48%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 11:30
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -5.58%E -3.87%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -14.09%E -2.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -13.48%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 11:30
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.80%EV -7.55%E -5.35%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -15.65%E -2.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 11:30
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.29%EV -10.82%E -7.96%K -30.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.50%EV -17.21%E -3.25%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.22%EV -14.42%E -3.17%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-24 11:30
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -8.20%E -5.86%K -20.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -17.99%E -3.43%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -15.36%E -3.41%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-24 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -8.20%E -5.86%K -20.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -17.99%E -3.43%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -15.36%E -3.41%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-24 11:30
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.93%EV -9.51%E -6.89%K -25.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.30%EV -20.34%E -3.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.77%EV -11.59%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-24 11:30
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 64.17%EV -10.82%E -7.96%K -30.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.45%EV -21.90%E -4.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.37%EV -10.65%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-24 11:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 68.11%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.81%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08%0.6%2026-05-24 11:30
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 68.11%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.81%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08%0.6%2026-05-24 11:30
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 68.31%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82%1.0%2026-05-24 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%1.0%2026-05-24 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%1.0%2026-05-24 11:30