La scuola delle quote

Qingdao West Coast FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC

Inizio: 2026-05-30 10:00 UTC

Finale: Qingdao West Coast FC 2–2 Shanghai Shenhua FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Qingdao West Coast FC (Casa)

Previsione 44.80%2.23quota equa
EV -4.13%
Vantaggio -1.93%
Kelly -3.62%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.14

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.63%44.88%44.78%46.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.062.052.1452.36%48.64%48.78%46.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.86%3.46quota equa
EV +1.60%
Vantaggio +0.455%
Kelly +0.635%
Crescita +0.010%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.52

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.34%28.81%28.87%30.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.173.203.5234.48%31.55%31.25%28.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.34%3.80quota equa
EV -2.56%
Vantaggio -0.692%
Kelly -0.948%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.07%26.31%26.35%27.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.513.503.7032.26%28.52%28.57%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.50%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.34%EV +1.60%E +0.455%K +0.635%G +0.010%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.09%E -0.839%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 09:40
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -10.40%E -5.20%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -1.86%E -0.548%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 09:50
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -3.88%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 09:49
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 09:47
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 09:50
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -10.40%E -5.20%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 09:49
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 09:50
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 09:50
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 09:49
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 09:49
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.55%EV -4.13%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.97%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 09:49
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 44.64%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.50%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.86%EV -8.09%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 09:20
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.22%EV -4.13%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 09:50
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.22%EV -4.13%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 09:50
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 09:30
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 09:49
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 09:10
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -12.64%E -6.48%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-30 09:50
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.76%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -7.06%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 09:50
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 09:30
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -6.81%E -3.28%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 09:50
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -6.81%E -3.28%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 09:49
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 09:40
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 09:50
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -7.71%E -3.74%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 09:49
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 09:49
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.08%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 09:40
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 09:49
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-30 09:49
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.40%E -5.20%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-30 09:50
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -14.41%E -4.43%K -6.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-30 09:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -14.41%E -4.43%K -6.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-30 09:50
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -12.64%E -6.48%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-30 09:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -14.43%E -7.56%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -18.36%E -5.92%K -8.74%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-30 09:50
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -11.97%E -3.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.56%E -0.692%K -0.948%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 13:09
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -11.97%E -3.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.56%E -0.692%K -0.948%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 13:09
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -11.97%E -3.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.56%E -0.692%K -0.948%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 13:09
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -11.97%E -3.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.56%E -0.692%K -0.948%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 13:09
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -11.97%E -3.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.56%E -0.692%K -0.948%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 13:09
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -11.97%E -3.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.56%E -0.692%K -0.948%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 13:09
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -6.81%E -3.28%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -13.41%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -3.88%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-28 13:09
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -13.41%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -3.88%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-28 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.42%EV -7.71%E -3.74%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.50%EV -13.41%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -3.88%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-28 13:09
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.42%EV -11.29%E -5.70%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -13.41%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-30 09:50
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.37%EV -9.50%E -4.70%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -14.85%E -5.03%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-28 13:09
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.37%EV -9.50%E -4.70%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -14.85%E -5.03%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-28 13:09
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -10.40%E -5.20%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -16.29%E -5.62%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-30 09:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 44.07%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-05-30 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-05-30 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-05-30 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-05-30 09:50
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%3.0%2026-05-30 09:50