La escuela de los momios

Qingdao West Coast FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC

Inicio: 2026-05-30 10:00 UTC

Final: Qingdao West Coast FC 2–2 Shanghai Shenhua FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Qingdao West Coast FC (Local)

Predicción 44.80%2.23momio equitativo
EV -4.13%
Ventaja -1.93%
Kelly -3.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.63%44.88%44.78%46.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.062.052.1452.36%48.64%48.78%46.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visitante)

Predicción 28.86%3.46momio equitativo
EV +1.60%
Ventaja +0.455%
Kelly +0.635%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.34%28.81%28.87%30.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.173.203.5234.48%31.55%31.25%28.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.34%3.80momio equitativo
EV -2.56%
Ventaja -0.692%
Kelly -0.948%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.07%26.31%26.35%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.513.503.7032.26%28.52%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.50%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.34%EV +1.60%E +0.455%K +0.635%G +0.010%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.09%E -0.839%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 09:40
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -10.40%E -5.20%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -1.86%E -0.548%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 09:50
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -3.88%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 09:49
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 09:47
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 09:50
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -10.40%E -5.20%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 09:49
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 09:50
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 09:50
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 09:49
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 09:49
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.55%EV -4.13%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.97%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 09:49
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 44.64%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.50%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.86%EV -8.09%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 09:20
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.22%EV -4.13%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 09:50
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.22%EV -4.13%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 09:50
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 09:30
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 09:49
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 09:10
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -12.64%E -6.48%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-30 09:50
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.76%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -7.06%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 09:50
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 09:30
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -6.81%E -3.28%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 09:50
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -6.81%E -3.28%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 09:49
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 09:40
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 09:50
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -7.71%E -3.74%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 09:49
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 09:49
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.08%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 09:40
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 09:49
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-30 09:49
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.40%E -5.20%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-30 09:50
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -14.41%E -4.43%K -6.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-30 09:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -14.41%E -4.43%K -6.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-30 09:50
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -12.64%E -6.48%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-30 09:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -14.43%E -7.56%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -18.36%E -5.92%K -8.74%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-30 09:50
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -11.97%E -3.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.56%E -0.692%K -0.948%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 13:09
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -11.97%E -3.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.56%E -0.692%K -0.948%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 13:09
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -11.97%E -3.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.56%E -0.692%K -0.948%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 13:09
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -11.97%E -3.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.56%E -0.692%K -0.948%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 13:09
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -11.97%E -3.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.56%E -0.692%K -0.948%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 13:09
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -11.97%E -3.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.56%E -0.692%K -0.948%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 13:09
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -6.81%E -3.28%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -13.41%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -3.88%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-28 13:09
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -13.41%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -3.88%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-28 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.42%EV -7.71%E -3.74%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.50%EV -13.41%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -3.88%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-28 13:09
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.42%EV -11.29%E -5.70%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -13.41%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-30 09:50
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.37%EV -9.50%E -4.70%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -14.85%E -5.03%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-28 13:09
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.37%EV -9.50%E -4.70%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -14.85%E -5.03%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-28 13:09
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -10.40%E -5.20%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -16.29%E -5.62%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-30 09:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 44.07%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-05-30 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-05-30 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-05-30 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-05-30 09:50
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%3.0%2026-05-30 09:50