L’École des cotes

Qingdao West Coast FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-30 10:00 UTC

Score final : Qingdao West Coast FC 2–2 Shanghai Shenhua FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Qingdao West Coast FC (Local)

Prévision 44.80%2.23cote équitable
EV -4.13%
Avantage -1.93%
Kelly -3.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.63%44.88%44.78%46.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.062.052.1452.36%48.64%48.78%46.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.86%3.46cote équitable
EV +1.60%
Avantage +0.455%
Kelly +0.635%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 3.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.34%28.81%28.87%30.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.173.203.5234.48%31.55%31.25%28.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.34%3.80cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -0.692%
Kelly -0.948%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.07%26.31%26.35%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.513.503.7032.26%28.52%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.50%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.34%EV +1.60%E +0.455%K +0.635%G +0.010%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.09%E -0.839%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 09:40
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -10.40%E -5.20%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -1.86%E -0.548%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 09:50
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -3.88%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 09:49
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 09:47
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 09:50
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -10.40%E -5.20%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 09:49
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 09:50
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 09:50
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 09:49
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 09:49
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.55%EV -4.13%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.97%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 09:49
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 44.64%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.50%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.86%EV -8.09%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 09:20
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.22%EV -4.13%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 09:50
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.22%EV -4.13%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 09:50
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 09:30
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 09:49
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 09:10
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -12.64%E -6.48%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-30 09:50
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.76%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -7.06%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 09:50
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 09:30
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -6.81%E -3.28%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 09:50
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -6.81%E -3.28%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 09:49
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 09:40
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 09:50
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -7.71%E -3.74%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 09:49
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 09:49
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.08%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 09:40
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 09:49
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-30 09:49
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.40%E -5.20%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-30 09:50
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -14.41%E -4.43%K -6.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-30 09:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.16%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -14.41%E -4.43%K -6.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-30 09:50
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -12.64%E -6.48%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-30 09:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -14.43%E -7.56%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -18.36%E -5.92%K -8.74%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-30 09:50
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -11.97%E -3.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.56%E -0.692%K -0.948%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 13:09
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -11.97%E -3.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.56%E -0.692%K -0.948%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 13:09
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -11.97%E -3.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.56%E -0.692%K -0.948%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 13:09
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -11.97%E -3.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.56%E -0.692%K -0.948%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 13:09
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -11.97%E -3.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.56%E -0.692%K -0.948%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 13:09
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.92%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -11.97%E -3.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.56%E -0.692%K -0.948%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 13:09
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -6.81%E -3.28%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -13.41%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -3.88%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-28 13:09
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -13.41%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -3.88%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-28 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.42%EV -7.71%E -3.74%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.50%EV -13.41%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -3.88%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-28 13:09
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.42%EV -11.29%E -5.70%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -13.41%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-30 09:50
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.37%EV -9.50%E -4.70%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -14.85%E -5.03%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-28 13:09
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.37%EV -9.50%E -4.70%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -14.85%E -5.03%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-28 13:09
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -10.40%E -5.20%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -16.29%E -5.62%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-30 09:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 44.07%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-05-30 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-05-30 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-05-30 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-05-30 09:50
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%3.0%2026-05-30 09:50