La scuola delle quote

Qingdao West Coast FC v Liaoning Tieren FC

Inizio: 2026-04-11 11:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Qingdao West Coast FC (Casa)

Previsione 37.97%2.63quota equa
EV -2.03%
Vantaggio -0.788%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.29%38.02%38.02%39.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.402.402.5843.48%41.64%41.67%38.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Liaoning Tieren FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.44%2.99quota equa
EV -4.70%
Vantaggio -1.65%
Kelly -2.54%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.44%33.44%33.38%34.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.762.772.8538.46%36.23%36.04%35.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.59%3.50quota equa
EV -2.80%
Vantaggio -0.822%
Kelly -1.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.40%28.54%28.60%29.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.213.203.4034.72%31.19%31.25%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.35%EV -2.03%E -0.788%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.81%EV -4.70%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.85%EV -4.51%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 10:55
BetUS2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -4.31%E -1.71%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.80%EV -7.04%E -2.53%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 10:50
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -5.07%E -2.03%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -4.70%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 10:15
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.83%E -2.35%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.74%EV -7.37%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.58%EV -6.51%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 10:50
Marathon Bet2.47I 40.49%NM 37.54%EV -6.21%E -2.51%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.48%EV -7.37%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 10:55
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.97%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 10:44
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.97%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:55
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.97%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.71%E -3.60%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:50
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.97%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.71%E -3.60%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:55
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.97%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.71%E -3.60%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:50
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.97%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.71%E -3.60%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:53
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -8.11%E -3.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -7.04%E -2.53%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 10:44
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -8.11%E -3.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -7.04%E -2.53%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 10:45
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 37.71%EV -8.11%E -3.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.31%EV -8.38%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -9.94%E -3.16%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 10:50
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 37.71%EV -8.11%E -3.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.31%EV -8.38%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -9.94%E -3.16%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 10:50
Codere (IT)2.41I 41.49%NM 38.20%EV -8.49%E -3.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.04%E -2.92%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 10:44
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.87%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -2.80%E -0.822%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 10:09
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.87%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 10:09
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.87%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 10:05
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.87%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.04%E -2.92%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 10:25
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.87%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.04%E -2.92%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 10:20
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.63%E -4.05%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 03:15
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.63%E -4.05%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 03:15
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.63%E -4.05%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 03:15
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.63%E -4.05%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 03:14
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.63%E -4.05%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 03:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.63%E -4.05%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 03:15
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.63%E -4.05%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 03:15
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.63%E -4.05%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 03:14
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.63%E -4.05%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 03:15
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -10.77%E -4.58%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -11.39%E -4.30%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 10:44
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -11.91%E -5.13%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -8.04%E -2.92%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.94%E -3.16%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 03:15
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -11.91%E -5.13%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -8.04%E -2.92%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.94%E -3.16%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 03:15
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -12.67%E -5.51%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.71%E -3.60%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 10:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.67%E -5.51%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.04%E -2.92%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 10:00
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.67%E -5.51%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.04%E -2.92%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 10:00
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -12.67%E -5.51%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -13.06%E -5.02%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-11 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -12.67%E -5.51%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -12.06%E -4.58%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -17.66%E -6.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-11 10:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.21%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-04-11 10:55
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.66%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-04-11 10:10
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.87%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.07%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-04-11 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.13%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05%1.3%2026-04-11 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.71%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.92%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.6%2026-04-11 10:55