L’École des cotes

Qingdao West Coast FC v Liaoning Tieren FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Qingdao West Coast FC (Local)

Prévision 37.97%2.63cote équitable
EV -2.03%
Avantage -0.788%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.29%38.02%38.02%39.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.402.402.5843.48%41.64%41.67%38.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Liaoning Tieren FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.44%2.99cote équitable
EV -4.70%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -2.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.44%33.44%33.38%34.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.762.772.8538.46%36.23%36.04%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.59%3.50cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -0.822%
Kelly -1.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.40%28.54%28.60%29.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.213.203.4034.72%31.19%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.35%EV -2.03%E -0.788%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.81%EV -4.70%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.85%EV -4.51%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 10:55
BetUS2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -4.31%E -1.71%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.80%EV -7.04%E -2.53%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 10:50
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -5.07%E -2.03%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -4.70%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 10:15
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.83%E -2.35%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.74%EV -7.37%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.58%EV -6.51%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 10:50
Marathon Bet2.47I 40.49%NM 37.54%EV -6.21%E -2.51%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.48%EV -7.37%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 10:55
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.97%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 10:44
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.97%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:55
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.97%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.71%E -3.60%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:50
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.97%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.71%E -3.60%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:55
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.97%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.71%E -3.60%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:50
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.97%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.71%E -3.60%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:53
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -8.11%E -3.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -7.04%E -2.53%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 10:44
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -8.11%E -3.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -7.04%E -2.53%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 10:45
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 37.71%EV -8.11%E -3.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.31%EV -8.38%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -9.94%E -3.16%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 10:50
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 37.71%EV -8.11%E -3.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.31%EV -8.38%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -9.94%E -3.16%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 10:50
Codere (IT)2.41I 41.49%NM 38.20%EV -8.49%E -3.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.04%E -2.92%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 10:44
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.87%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -2.80%E -0.822%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 10:09
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.87%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 10:09
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.87%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 10:05
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.87%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.04%E -2.92%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 10:25
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.87%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.04%E -2.92%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 10:20
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.63%E -4.05%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 03:15
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.63%E -4.05%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 03:15
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.63%E -4.05%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 03:15
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.63%E -4.05%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 03:14
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.63%E -4.05%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 03:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.63%E -4.05%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 03:15
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.63%E -4.05%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 03:15
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.63%E -4.05%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 03:14
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.63%E -4.05%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.37%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 03:15
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -10.77%E -4.58%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -11.39%E -4.30%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 10:44
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -11.91%E -5.13%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -8.04%E -2.92%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.94%E -3.16%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 03:15
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -11.91%E -5.13%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -8.04%E -2.92%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.94%E -3.16%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 03:15
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -12.67%E -5.51%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.71%E -3.60%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 10:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.67%E -5.51%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.04%E -2.92%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 10:00
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.67%E -5.51%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.04%E -2.92%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 10:00
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -12.67%E -5.51%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -13.06%E -5.02%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-11 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -12.67%E -5.51%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -12.06%E -4.58%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -17.66%E -6.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-11 10:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.21%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-04-11 10:55
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.66%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-04-11 10:10
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.87%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.07%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-04-11 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.13%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05%1.3%2026-04-11 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.71%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.92%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.6%2026-04-11 10:55