The School of Odds

Qingdao West Coast FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

2026-07-18 11:00 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Qingdao West Coast FC (Local)

Prediction 22.63%4.42fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -0.903%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.20%22.61%22.57%24.02%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.504.024.034.2529%25%25%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit)

Prediction 52.69%1.90fair odd
EV -5.68%
Edge -3.17%
Kelly -7.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.26%52.73%52.95%53.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.641.741.751.7961%57%57%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.68%4.05fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -0.572%
Kelly -0.765%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.98%24.66%24.48%25.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.403.723.733.9629%27%27%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV -3.84%E -0.903%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.61%EV -7.26%E -4.13%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -3.74%E -0.960%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 12:14
1xBet4.22I 23.70%NM 22.61%EV -4.52%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.30%EV -5.68%E -3.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.09%EV -2.26%E -0.572%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 12:24
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.97%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.02%EV -6.21%E -3.49%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 12:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.97%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.79%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.74%E -0.960%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 12:24
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -4.97%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.75%EV -8.31%E -4.78%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -3.74%E -0.960%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 12:14
Pinnacle4.19I 23.87%NM 22.54%EV -5.20%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.06%EV -6.21%E -3.49%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.40%EV -4.49%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 13:39
Marathon Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.26%EV -8.31%E -4.78%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.13%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 12:24
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.10%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:14
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -8.36%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.07%EV -6.21%E -3.49%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 13:14
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -8.36%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.07%EV -6.21%E -3.49%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 13:15
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-11 12:14
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.79%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-11 13:15
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.79%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-11 13:05
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.79%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-11 13:14
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-11 12:14
LeoVegas3.95I 25.32%NM 23.12%EV -10.63%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -7.79%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-11 13:19
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -14.02%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 51.88%EV -10.95%E -6.48%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -13.62%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-11 13:15
Winamax (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.56%EV -16.28%E -4.40%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.89%EV -11.48%E -6.83%K -16.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.55%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-11 13:15
Winamax (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.02%EV -20.81%E -5.94%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 51.26%EV -13.58%E -8.28%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.72%EV -16.09%E -4.73%K -6.70%G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-11 13:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.