La scuola delle quote

Qingdao West Coast FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Inizio: 2026-07-18 11:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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28 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Qingdao West Coast FC (Casa)

Previsione 22.70%4.41quota equa
EV -2.86%
Vantaggio -0.669%
Kelly -0.873%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.99%22.74%22.84%24.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.504.034.074.2828.57%24.79%24.54%23.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 52.56%1.90quota equa
EV -5.91%
Vantaggio -3.30%
Kelly -7.49%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.79

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.26%52.57%52.46%53.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.641.751.751.7960.98%57.20%57.14%55.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.74%4.04quota equa
EV -3.01%
Vantaggio -0.768%
Kelly -1.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.92

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.97%24.69%24.70%25.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.733.753.9229.41%26.79%26.67%25.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet4.28I 23.36%NM 22.31%EV -2.86%E -0.669%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.34%EV -5.91%E -3.30%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.36%EV -3.01%E -0.768%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-13 11:35
SportsBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV -3.54%E -0.834%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.61%EV -7.49%E -4.26%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -3.50%E -0.898%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 12:14
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -3.54%E -0.834%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -8.02%E -4.58%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-13 09:47
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.68%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.02%EV -6.44%E -3.62%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.74%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 12:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.68%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -8.02%E -4.58%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.50%E -0.898%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 12:24
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -4.68%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.75%EV -8.54%E -4.91%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -3.50%E -0.898%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 12:14
Pinnacle4.19I 23.87%NM 22.54%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.06%EV -6.44%E -3.62%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.40%EV -4.25%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 13:39
GTbets4.15I 24.10%NM 22.73%EV -5.81%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.70%EV -5.91%E -3.30%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.57%EV -4.99%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 00:05
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -5.81%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.27%EV -8.54%E -4.91%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 10:39
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.95%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -6.97%E -3.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -4.74%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-13 13:26
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.95%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.25%EV -5.91%E -3.30%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.21%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-13 06:34
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.95%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.25%EV -5.91%E -3.30%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.21%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-13 06:35
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -6.95%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -8.54%E -4.91%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.21%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-13 06:35
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -6.95%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.10%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -7.21%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:14
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -8.08%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.07%EV -6.44%E -3.62%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 13:14
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -8.08%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.07%EV -6.44%E -3.62%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 13:15
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -9.22%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -6.97%E -3.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-13 03:54
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.22%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-13 11:04
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.22%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.21%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-11 12:14
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.22%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.02%E -4.58%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-11 13:15
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.22%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.02%E -4.58%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-11 13:05
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.22%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.02%E -4.58%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-11 13:14
LeoVegas3.95I 25.32%NM 23.12%EV -10.35%E -2.62%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -8.02%E -4.58%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-11 13:19
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.76%E -3.62%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.02%E -4.58%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-13 11:05
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.76%E -3.62%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 51.88%EV -11.17%E -6.61%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -13.40%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-11 13:15
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -14.89%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.57%EV -10.65%E -6.26%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -13.40%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-12 21:09
Winamax (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.56%EV -16.03%E -4.33%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.89%EV -11.70%E -6.96%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.55%EV -12.16%E -3.43%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-11 13:15
Winamax (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.02%EV -20.57%E -5.88%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 51.26%EV -13.80%E -8.41%K -21.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.72%EV -15.87%E -4.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-11 13:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.