Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.51
assuming max odds 1.84
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local): 22.83%; Zhejiang (Visit): 52.41%; Draw: 24.76%. For Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.38. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.96%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.72%EV +2.96%E +0.657%K +0.844%G +0.025% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.40%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 25.88%EV -10.62%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 11:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.34%EV -1.83%E -0.426%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.08%EV -5.14%E -2.84%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.57%EV -3.19%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 11:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -2.97%E -0.699%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.76%E -4.41%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -4.67%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.67%EV -3.57%E -1.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 10:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.67%EV -3.57%E -1.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 10:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.67%EV -3.57%E -1.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 10:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -7.24%E -4.09%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.43%E -0.881%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 11:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -8.81%E -5.06%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.91%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 11:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.15%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -9.86%E -5.73%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-20 11:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -5.25%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.76%EV -7.40%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -7.54%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.07%EV -6.71%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 11:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -7.54%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.07%EV -6.71%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 11:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.71%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -0.959%E -0.240%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 11:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.88%EV -7.24%E -4.09%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -9.62%E -2.64%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-20 11:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.24%E -4.09%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-20 11:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.33%E -5.39%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-20 11:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.34%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-19 23:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.34%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-20 00:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.15%EV -15.10%E -9.32%K -24.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.32%EV -15.81%E -4.65%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-20 10:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -9.82%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -14.58%E -4.23%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-20 10:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -9.82%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -14.58%E -4.23%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-20 10:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -9.82%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -14.58%E -4.23%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-20 10:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -9.82%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -14.58%E -4.23%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-20 10:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -9.82%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -14.58%E -4.23%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-20 10:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -9.82%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -14.58%E -4.23%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-20 10:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -9.82%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -14.58%E -4.23%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-20 10:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -9.82%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -14.58%E -4.23%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-20 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -9.82%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.10%EV -4.61%E -2.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -15.81%E -4.65%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-20 10:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.24%E -4.09%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -3.43%E -0.881%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-20 11:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -9.33%E -5.39%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -3.43%E -0.881%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-20 11:23 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.17%EV -6.19%E -3.46%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -17.05%E -5.09%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-20 10:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.17%EV -6.19%E -3.46%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -17.05%E -5.09%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-20 10:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-20 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-20 10:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -12.10%E -3.14%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -4.67%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-20 11:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -12.10%E -3.14%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -7.15%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-20 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -12.10%E -3.14%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -8.81%E -5.06%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -7.15%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-20 11:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -12.10%E -3.14%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.25%EV -7.24%E -4.09%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-20 11:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.79%EV -14.39%E -3.84%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 52.43%EV -14.57%E -8.94%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.77%EV -14.58%E -4.23%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-03-20 11:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -15.53%E -4.20%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.77%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-20 11:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.64%EV -15.53%E -4.20%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 52.35%EV -16.14%E -10.09%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.01%EV -17.05%E -5.09%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-03-20 11:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.60%EV -16.67%E -4.57%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.68%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.72%EV -17.05%E -5.09%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-20 11:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -17.81%E -4.95%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -12.48%E -7.47%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-20 11:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.3% | 2026-03-20 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.3% | 2026-03-20 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.3% | 2026-03-20 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.3% | 2026-03-20 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.38% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29% | 2.9% | 2026-03-20 11:10 |