La escuela de los momios

Qingdao Hainiu FC v Zhejiang

Inicio: 2026-03-20 11:35 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local)

Predicción 22.83%4.38momio equitativo
EV +2.96%
Ventaja +0.657%
Kelly +0.844%
Crecimiento +0.025%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.72%22.86%22.86%24.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.993.954.5127.78%25.08%25.32%22.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Zhejiang (Visitante)

Predicción 52.41%1.91momio equitativo
EV -3.57%
Ventaja -1.94%
Kelly -4.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.10%52.35%52.39%53.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.761.771.8462.50%56.74%56.50%54.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.76%4.04momio equitativo
EV -0.959%
Ventaja -0.240%
Kelly -0.320%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.51%24.79%24.75%26.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.613.604.0029.85%27.67%27.78%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet4.51I 22.17%NM 20.72%EV +2.96%E +0.657%K +0.844%G +0.025%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.40%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.88%EV -10.62%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 11:24
Pinnacle4.30I 23.26%NM 22.34%EV -1.83%E -0.426%K -0.555%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.08%EV -5.14%E -2.84%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.57%EV -3.19%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 11:25
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -2.97%E -0.699%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.76%E -4.41%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -4.67%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 11:30
LowVig.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.67%EV -3.57%E -1.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 10:25
BetOnline.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.67%EV -3.57%E -1.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 10:25
BetUS4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.67%EV -3.57%E -1.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 10:24
DraftKings4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -7.24%E -4.09%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.43%E -0.881%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 11:10
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -8.81%E -5.06%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.91%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 11:25
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.15%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 11:25
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -9.86%E -5.73%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 11:15
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -5.25%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.76%EV -7.40%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 11:30
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -7.54%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.07%EV -6.71%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 11:10
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -7.54%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.07%EV -6.71%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 11:10
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.71%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -0.959%E -0.240%K -0.320%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 11:29
Codere (IT)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.88%EV -7.24%E -4.09%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -9.62%E -2.64%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 11:15
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.24%E -4.09%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 11:10
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.33%E -5.39%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-20 11:25
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.34%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-19 23:59
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.34%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-20 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.15%EV -15.10%E -9.32%K -24.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.32%EV -15.81%E -4.65%K -6.59%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-20 10:29
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -9.82%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -14.58%E -4.23%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 10:25
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -9.82%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -14.58%E -4.23%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 10:24
BetRivers3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -9.82%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -14.58%E -4.23%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 10:25
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -9.82%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -14.58%E -4.23%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 10:25
LeoVegas3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -9.82%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -14.58%E -4.23%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 10:24
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -9.82%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -14.58%E -4.23%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 10:25
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -9.82%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -14.58%E -4.23%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 10:24
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -9.82%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -14.58%E -4.23%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -9.82%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.10%EV -4.61%E -2.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -15.81%E -4.65%K -6.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-20 10:25
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.24%E -4.09%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -3.43%E -0.881%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 11:25
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -9.33%E -5.39%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -3.43%E -0.881%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 11:23
LiveScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.17%EV -6.19%E -3.46%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -17.05%E -5.09%K -7.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-20 10:25
Virgin Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.17%EV -6.19%E -3.46%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -17.05%E -5.09%K -7.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-20 10:24
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-20 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-20 10:59
Bet Right3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -12.10%E -3.14%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -4.67%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 11:30
Everygame3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -12.10%E -3.14%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -7.15%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 11:25
Winamax (DE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -12.10%E -3.14%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -8.81%E -5.06%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -7.15%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-20 11:10
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -12.10%E -3.14%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.25%EV -7.24%E -4.09%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 11:24
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.79%EV -14.39%E -3.84%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 52.43%EV -14.57%E -8.94%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.77%EV -14.58%E -4.23%K -5.95%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-20 11:25
Winamax (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -15.53%E -4.20%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.77%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-20 11:15
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 22.64%EV -15.53%E -4.20%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 52.35%EV -16.14%E -10.09%K -26.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.01%EV -17.05%E -5.09%K -7.26%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-20 11:25
Parions Sport (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 23.60%EV -16.67%E -4.57%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.68%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.72%EV -17.05%E -5.09%K -7.26%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-20 11:15
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -17.81%E -4.95%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -12.48%E -7.47%K -18.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-20 11:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-03-20 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-03-20 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-03-20 11:30
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-03-20 11:30
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.38%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%2.9%2026-03-20 11:10