Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.77
assuming max odds 2.55
assuming max odds 3.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local): 35.42%; Wuhan Three Towns (Visit): 38.46%; Draw: 26.12%. For Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.77, with an expected value of -1.90%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.81%EV -1.90%E -0.685%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.41%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.78%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -2.25%E -0.816%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.55%EV -5.39%E -2.19%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -2.25%E -0.816%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.55%EV -5.39%E -2.19%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -2.61%E -0.948%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -11.54%E -5.02%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.36%EV -2.96%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.90%EV -6.93%E -2.86%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.74%EV -8.04%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 06:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.05%EV -5.44%E -2.04%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.67%EV -6.93%E -2.86%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.29%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.77%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.77%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 05:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.77%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 08:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.46%E -3.56%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.46%E -3.56%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.49%EV -7.57%E -2.90%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -8.46%E -3.56%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -5.43%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.77%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.04%E -0.543%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 06:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.77%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.34%E -0.903%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 05:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.34%E -0.903%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 06:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -8.46%E -3.56%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 06:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -8.46%E -3.56%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -8.46%E -3.56%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 08:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -8.46%E -3.56%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.48%EV -9.87%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -9.62%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -11.54%E -5.02%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -9.69%E -3.80%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.77%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -3.34%E -0.903%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 05:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -9.69%E -3.80%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -9.69%E -3.80%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.71%EV -9.62%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -7.26%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -1.93%E -0.755%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-24 09:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -1.93%E -0.755%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-24 09:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -1.93%E -0.755%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-24 09:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -1.93%E -0.755%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-24 09:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -1.93%E -0.755%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-24 09:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -1.93%E -0.755%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-24 09:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.46%E -3.56%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 06:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.46%E -3.56%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.46%E -3.56%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.46%E -3.56%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.54%E -5.02%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -4.62%E -1.86%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -9.87%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-24 09:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.37%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -11.54%E -5.02%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -15.71%E -6.60%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -5.77%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-24 09:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -16.77%E -7.14%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.53%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-24 09:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -16.77%E -7.14%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.53%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-24 09:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.64% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 08:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.50% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66% | 1.4% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.50% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66% | 1.4% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.50% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66% | 1.4% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.37% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.70% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.93% | 1.7% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |