The School of Odds
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Qingdao Hainiu FC v Wuhan Three Towns

2026-08-29 09:00 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local)

Prediction 36.25%2.76fair odd
EV -4.31%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.69%36.28%36.33%37.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.532.542.6441.67%39.56%39.45%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wuhan Three Towns (Visit)

Prediction 36.37%2.75fair odd
EV -4.71%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.83%36.38%36.34%37.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.512.502.6242.02%39.79%40.00%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.38%3.65fair odd
EV -0.058%
Edge -0.016%
Kelly -0.022%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.17%27.33%27.33%28.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.363.303.6531.25%29.76%30.30%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local): 36.25%; Wuhan Three Towns (Visit): 36.37%; Draw: 27.38%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.652. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.650, with an expected value of -0.058%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -4.31%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.19%EV -4.71%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 12:45
GTbets🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.06%EV -5.03%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.06%EV -4.71%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.87%EV -7.18%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 12:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -5.03%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -5.43%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 13:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -5.03%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -5.43%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 13:05
1xBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.76%EV -5.76%E -2.21%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.05%EV -6.16%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.19%EV -0.058%E -0.016%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 12:45
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.76%E -2.21%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.25%E -2.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 11:50
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.57%E -2.97%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 11:50
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.57%E -2.97%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 11:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.57%E -2.97%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 12:15
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.57%E -2.97%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.57%E -2.97%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.25%E -2.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 11:59
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.57%E -2.97%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.25%E -2.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 12:00
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.57%E -2.97%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.25%E -2.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 12:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.77%EV -8.66%E -3.44%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.06%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -3.07%E -0.867%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 12:15
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.38%E -3.75%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 11:50
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.38%E -3.75%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.89%E -4.44%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 11:50
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.38%E -3.75%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 12:00
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.38%E -3.75%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 12:45
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.38%E -3.75%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 12:43
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.38%E -3.75%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.38%E -3.75%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 12:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -11.20%E -4.57%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.25%E -2.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 13:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.20%E -4.57%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.89%E -4.44%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 12:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.89%EV -11.20%E -4.57%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -12.71%E -5.29%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -12.38%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-23 11:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -13.01%E -5.42%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -12.71%E -5.29%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -12.38%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-23 12:00
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.25%EV -13.01%E -5.42%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.56%EV -13.44%E -5.65%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -12.38%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-23 12:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 35.84%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.84%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.31%6.1%2026-08-23 13:05