Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Qingdao Hainiu FC v Wuhan Three Towns

Início: 2026-08-29 09:00 UTC

Final: Qingdao Hainiu FC 1–5 Wuhan Three Towns

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local)

Previsão 35.42%2.82odd justa
EV -1.90%
Vantagem -0.685%
Kelly -1.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.54%35.44%35.48%37.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.582.602.7742.55%38.83%38.46%36.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Wuhan Three Towns (Visitante)

Previsão 38.46%2.60odd justa
EV -1.93%
Vantagem -0.755%
Kelly -1.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.33%38.44%38.40%40.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.422.402.5543.48%41.34%41.67%39.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.12%3.83odd justa
EV -2.04%
Vantagem -0.543%
Kelly -0.740%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.17%26.12%26.12%27.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.353.523.503.7529.85%28.41%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local): 35.42%; Wuhan Three Towns (Visitante): 38.46%; Empate: 26.12%. Para Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.82. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.77, com valor esperado de -1.90%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.81%EV -1.90%E -0.685%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.41%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.78%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -2.25%E -0.816%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.55%EV -5.39%E -2.19%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 08:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -2.25%E -0.816%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.55%EV -5.39%E -2.19%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -2.61%E -0.948%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -11.54%E -5.02%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 08:45
GTbets🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.36%EV -2.96%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.90%EV -6.93%E -2.86%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.74%EV -8.04%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 06:25
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.05%EV -5.44%E -2.04%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.67%EV -6.93%E -2.86%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.29%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 08:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.77%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 08:50
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.77%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 05:09
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.77%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 08:49
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 08:55
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 08:30
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 08:30
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 08:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 08:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 08:30
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.46%E -3.56%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 08:50
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.46%E -3.56%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 08:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.49%EV -7.57%E -2.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -8.46%E -3.56%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -5.43%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 08:55
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.77%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.04%E -0.543%K -0.740%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 06:00
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.77%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.34%E -0.903%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 05:58
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.34%E -0.903%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 06:00
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -8.46%E -3.56%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 06:00
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 08:55
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -8.46%E -3.56%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 08:55
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -8.46%E -3.56%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 08:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -8.46%E -3.56%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.48%EV -9.87%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 08:55
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -9.62%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 08:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -11.54%E -5.02%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 08:50
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -9.69%E -3.80%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.77%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -3.34%E -0.903%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 05:59
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -9.69%E -3.80%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 06:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -9.69%E -3.80%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.71%EV -9.62%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -7.26%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 08:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -1.93%E -0.755%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-24 09:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -1.93%E -0.755%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-24 09:04
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -1.93%E -0.755%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-24 09:04
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -1.93%E -0.755%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-24 09:04
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -1.93%E -0.755%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-24 09:09
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -1.93%E -0.755%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-24 09:09
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.46%E -3.56%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 06:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.46%E -3.56%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 08:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.46%E -3.56%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 08:10
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.46%E -3.56%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 08:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.54%E -5.02%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 08:50
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -4.62%E -1.86%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -9.87%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 09:05
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.37%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -11.54%E -5.02%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-29 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -15.71%E -6.60%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -5.77%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-24 09:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -16.77%E -7.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.53%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-24 09:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -16.77%E -7.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.53%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-24 09:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-08-29 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.50%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-08-29 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.50%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-08-29 08:55
Matchbook◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.50%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-08-29 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.37%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.93%1.7%2026-08-29 08:50