Language:English
Qingdao Hainiu FC v Dalian Yingbo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local)
Prediction 40.10%2.49fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.77%40.14%40.12%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.302.302.4346.51%43.40%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dalian Yingbo (Visit)
Prediction 33.30%3.00fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.21%33.32%33.29%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.782.802.9138.46%36.02%35.71%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.60%3.76fair odd
EV -0.779%
Edge -0.209%
Kelly -0.285%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.69%26.55%26.59%28.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.443.403.7333.33%29.04%29.41%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local): 40.10%; Dalian Yingbo (Visit): 33.30%; Draw: 26.60%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.73, with an expected value of -0.779%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06%EV -2.55%E -1.05%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.27%EV -7.77%E -2.80%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.67%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 12:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -3.76%E -1.57%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.43%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.32%EV -4.96%E -2.09%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.84%EV -3.10%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.84%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 01:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.31%EV -5.36%E -2.27%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.26%EV -4.77%E -1.67%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.31%EV -5.36%E -2.27%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.26%EV -4.77%E -1.67%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.31%EV -5.36%E -2.27%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.26%EV -4.77%E -1.67%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 19:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 19:38 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.43%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 19:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 19:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.13%EV -6.16%E -2.63%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.07%EV -3.10%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.80%EV -0.779%E -0.209%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 01:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -5.10%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 14:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -5.10%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 14:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -5.10%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 14:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -5.10%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 14:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -5.10%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 14:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -5.10%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 14:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.72%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 14:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -6.96%E -3.00%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -10.89%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 14:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 02:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.86%EV -6.10%E -2.16%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 01:12 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.30%EV -7.43%E -2.67%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 02:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.30%EV -7.43%E -2.67%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 02:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.43%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 19:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.43%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 19:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -10.89%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 14:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.43%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-10 01:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.43%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-10 01:18 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -12.43%E -4.73%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -12.43%E -4.73%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.14%EV -8.17%E -3.57%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.10%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -2.91%E -0.796%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 01:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.06%EV -8.17%E -3.57%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -8.43%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 02:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.57%E -3.76%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -8.43%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 14:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.57%E -3.76%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -8.43%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 14:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.10%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-10 02:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -5.57%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 02:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -8.43%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 01:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -8.43%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 19:18 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -11.78%E -5.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -13.43%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-10 02:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -11.78%E -5.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -13.43%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -20.20%E -6.73%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-05-09 19:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -13.78%E -6.41%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-10 02:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.77%EV -13.78%E -6.41%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.45%EV -12.76%E -4.87%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-10 01:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 01:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-05-10 01:19 |