L’École des cotes

Qingdao Hainiu FC v Dalian Yingbo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 12:00 UTC

Score final : Qingdao Hainiu FC 3–1 Dalian Yingbo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local)

Prévision 40.10%2.49cote équitable
EV -2.55%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.77%40.14%40.12%41.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.302.302.4346.51%43.40%43.48%41.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dalian Yingbo (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.30%3.00cote équitable
EV -3.10%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -1.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.21%33.32%33.29%34.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.782.802.9138.46%36.02%35.71%34.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.60%3.76cote équitable
EV -0.779%
Avantage -0.209%
Kelly -0.285%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.69%26.55%26.59%28.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.443.403.7333.33%29.04%29.41%26.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06%EV -2.55%E -1.05%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.27%EV -7.77%E -2.80%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.67%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 12:49
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -3.76%E -1.57%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.43%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 19:04
1xBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.32%EV -4.96%E -2.09%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.84%EV -3.10%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.84%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 01:20
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.31%EV -5.36%E -2.27%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.26%EV -4.77%E -1.67%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:19
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.31%EV -5.36%E -2.27%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.26%EV -4.77%E -1.67%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:14
BetUS2.36I 42.37%NM 40.31%EV -5.36%E -2.27%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.26%EV -4.77%E -1.67%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:14
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 19:39
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 19:38
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.43%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 19:39
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 19:35
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 41.13%EV -6.16%E -2.63%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.07%EV -3.10%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.80%EV -0.779%E -0.209%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 01:24
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -5.10%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 14:40
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -5.10%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 14:40
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -5.10%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 14:40
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -5.10%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 14:40
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -5.10%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 14:40
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -5.10%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 14:40
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 39.72%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 14:39
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -6.96%E -3.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -10.89%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:39
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 02:14
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.86%EV -6.10%E -2.16%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 01:12
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.30%EV -7.43%E -2.67%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 02:14
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.30%EV -7.43%E -2.67%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 02:14
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.43%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 19:39
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.43%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 19:35
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 19:04
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 19:04
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 19:04
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 19:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -10.89%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 14:40
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.43%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 01:04
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.43%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 01:18
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -12.43%E -4.73%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 18:40
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -12.43%E -4.73%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 18:40
Bovada2.29I 43.67%NM 41.14%EV -8.17%E -3.57%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.10%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -2.91%E -0.796%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 01:30
Codere (IT)2.29I 43.67%NM 40.06%EV -8.17%E -3.57%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -8.43%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 02:19
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.57%E -3.76%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -8.43%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 14:44
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.57%E -3.76%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -8.43%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 14:40
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.10%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 02:59
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -5.57%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 02:14
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -8.43%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 01:15
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -8.43%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 19:18
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -11.78%E -5.35%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -13.43%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-10 02:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -11.78%E -5.35%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -13.43%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -20.20%E -6.73%K -10.10%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-09 19:39
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -13.78%E -6.41%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-10 02:14
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.77%EV -13.78%E -6.41%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.45%EV -12.76%E -4.87%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-10 01:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-05-10 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-05-10 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-05-10 00:05
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-05-10 01:25
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-05-10 01:19