L’École des cotes

Qingdao Hainiu FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 09:00 UTC

Score final : Qingdao Hainiu FC 0–1 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local)

Prévision 40.97%2.44cote équitable
EV -3.32%
Avantage -1.41%
Kelly -2.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.27%40.97%40.77%41.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.272.282.3647.62%44.05%43.86%42.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.86%3.59cote équitable
EV +1.69%
Avantage +0.464%
Kelly +0.639%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.94%27.82%28.02%30.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.253.253.6533.90%30.73%30.77%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.17%3.21cote équitable
EV -3.37%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.58%31.21%31.20%32.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.962.983.1036.36%33.80%33.61%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.17%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV +1.69%E +0.464%K +0.639%G +0.011%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.88%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 08:40
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.17%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV +1.69%E +0.464%K +0.639%G +0.011%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.88%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 08:39
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 40.77%EV -3.32%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.51%EV +1.14%E +0.313%K +0.432%G +0.005%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.73%EV -8.36%E -2.84%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 08:50
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV +0.299%E +0.083%K +0.115%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -8.04%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 08:49
BetUS2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -5.36%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -1.09%E -0.308%K -0.429%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 08:50
Bovada2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -6.18%E -2.70%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -1.09%E -0.308%K -0.429%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 08:49
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -2.49%E -0.711%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:40
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -2.49%E -0.711%K -0.995%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -10.54%E -3.67%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 08:49
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.02%EV -7.41%E -3.28%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.79%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.19%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 08:50
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 08:40
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -11.16%E -3.92%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 08:49
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 08:50
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -8.64%E -3.88%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.68%EV -5.83%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.37%EV -3.99%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 08:50
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 08:40
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.37%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 08:50
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.37%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 08:50
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 08:39
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 08:40
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 08:40
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 08:49
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 08:50
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 08:40
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 08:50
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 08:40
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 08:49
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -8.64%E -3.88%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 08:39
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -11.92%E -5.54%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-24 08:50
GTbets2.33I 42.92%NM 40.47%EV -4.55%E -1.95%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.11%EV -9.73%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.37%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 08:30
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-24 08:29
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-24 08:49
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -12.24%E -3.89%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 08:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 08:40
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 08:39
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -15.02%E -4.93%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 08:50
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -15.02%E -4.93%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 08:49
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -15.02%E -4.93%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 08:49
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -15.02%E -4.93%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 08:50
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -15.02%E -4.93%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 08:50
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -15.02%E -4.93%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 08:50
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -4.55%E -1.95%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -15.02%E -4.93%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-24 08:50
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.66%EV -13.97%E -6.65%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -15.02%E -4.93%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -8.04%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-24 08:40
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -16.42%E -5.47%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -3.37%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 08:46
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -4.96%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -16.42%E -5.47%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 08:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -13.97%E -6.65%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -16.42%E -5.47%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -14.28%E -5.19%K -8.16%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-24 08:49
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.28%EV -6.59%E -2.89%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -17.81%E -6.04%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -8.04%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 08:49
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.28%EV -6.59%E -2.89%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -17.81%E -6.04%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -8.04%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 08:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 42.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.03%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.96%0.0%2026-05-24 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65%0.4%2026-05-24 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65%0.4%2026-05-24 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65%0.4%2026-05-24 08:50
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-05-24 08:50