مدرسة الاحتمالات

Qingdao Hainiu FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

البداية: 2026-05-24 09:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Qingdao Hainiu FC 0–1 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Qingdao Hainiu FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 40.97%2.44السعر العادل
EV -3.32%
الأفضلية -1.41%
Kelly -2.44%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.27%40.97%40.77%41.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.272.282.3647.62%44.05%43.86%42.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 27.86%3.59السعر العادل
EV +1.69%
الأفضلية +0.464%
Kelly +0.639%
النمو +0.011%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.94%27.82%28.02%30.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.953.253.253.6533.90%30.73%30.77%27.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 31.17%3.21السعر العادل
EV -3.37%
الأفضلية -1.09%
Kelly -1.60%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.58%31.21%31.20%32.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.752.962.983.1036.36%33.80%33.61%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.17%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV +1.69%E +0.464%K +0.639%G +0.011%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.88%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 08:40
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.17%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV +1.69%E +0.464%K +0.639%G +0.011%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.88%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 08:39
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 40.77%EV -3.32%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.51%EV +1.14%E +0.313%K +0.432%G +0.005%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.73%EV -8.36%E -2.84%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 08:50
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV +0.299%E +0.083%K +0.115%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -8.04%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 08:49
BetUS2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -5.36%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -1.09%E -0.308%K -0.429%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 08:50
Bovada2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -6.18%E -2.70%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -1.09%E -0.308%K -0.429%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 08:49
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -2.49%E -0.711%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:40
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -2.49%E -0.711%K -0.995%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -10.54%E -3.67%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 08:49
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.02%EV -7.41%E -3.28%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.79%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.19%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 08:50
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 08:40
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -11.16%E -3.92%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 08:49
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 08:50
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -8.64%E -3.88%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.68%EV -5.83%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.37%EV -3.99%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 08:50
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 08:40
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.37%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 08:50
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.37%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 08:50
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 08:39
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 08:40
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 08:40
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 08:49
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 08:50
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 08:40
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 08:50
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 08:40
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 08:49
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -8.64%E -3.88%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 08:39
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -11.92%E -5.54%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-24 08:50
GTbets2.33I 42.92%NM 40.47%EV -4.55%E -1.95%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.11%EV -9.73%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.37%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 08:30
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-24 08:29
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-24 08:49
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -12.24%E -3.89%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 08:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 08:40
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 08:39
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -15.02%E -4.93%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 08:50
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -15.02%E -4.93%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 08:49
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -15.02%E -4.93%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 08:49
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -15.02%E -4.93%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 08:50
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -15.02%E -4.93%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 08:50
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -15.02%E -4.93%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 08:50
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -4.55%E -1.95%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -15.02%E -4.93%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-24 08:50
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.66%EV -13.97%E -6.65%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -15.02%E -4.93%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -8.04%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-24 08:40
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -16.42%E -5.47%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -3.37%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 08:46
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -4.96%E -2.14%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -16.42%E -5.47%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 08:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -13.97%E -6.65%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -16.42%E -5.47%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -14.28%E -5.19%K -8.16%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-24 08:49
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.28%EV -6.59%E -2.89%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -17.81%E -6.04%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -8.04%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 08:49
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.28%EV -6.59%E -2.89%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -17.81%E -6.04%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -8.04%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 08:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 42.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.03%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.96%0.0%2026-05-24 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65%0.4%2026-05-24 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65%0.4%2026-05-24 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65%0.4%2026-05-24 08:50
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-05-24 08:50