La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Qingdao Hainiu FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local)
Predicción 17.58%5.69momio equitativo
EV +1.97%
Ventaja +0.340%
Kelly +0.411%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.03%17.67%17.42%19.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.225.255.8022.22%19.17%19.05%17.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visitante)
Predicción 60.74%1.65momio equitativo
EV -4.64%
Ventaja -2.96%
Kelly -8.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.91%60.63%60.90%62.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.521.531.5769.44%65.66%65.36%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.68%4.61momio equitativo
EV -3.30%
Ventaja -0.740%
Kelly -0.954%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.02%21.70%21.68%22.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.214.224.4625.00%23.73%23.67%22.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +1.97%E +0.340%K +0.411%G +0.008% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -10.11%E -6.83%K -21.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.60%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-05 10:49 |
| SportsBet | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV +0.215%E +0.038%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.34%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.60%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 10:50 |
| Pinnacle | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.38%EV -2.95%E -0.534%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.11%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.51%EV -3.30%E -0.740%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 10:55 |
| 1xBet | 5.51I 18.15%NM 16.95%EV -3.13%E -0.567%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -11.10%E -2.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 10:50 |
| DraftKings | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -3.30%E -0.600%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.04%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -4.60%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 10:45 |
| Coolbet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -3.30%E -0.600%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -4.60%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -3.30%E -0.600%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -7.68%E -5.05%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| betfred_uk | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -3.30%E -0.600%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.94%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.00%EV -4.18%E -0.767%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.95%EV -7.68%E -5.05%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.94%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 10:40 |
| TABtouch | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -5.06%E -0.937%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 10:50 |
| Grosvenor | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -5.06%E -0.937%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 10:50 |
| Unibet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -5.06%E -0.937%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -5.06%E -0.937%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -5.06%E -0.937%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 10:50 |
| betPARX | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -5.06%E -0.937%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 10:50 |
| BetRivers | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.20%EV -5.06%E -0.937%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.69%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -8.94%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-05 10:50 |
| GTbets | 5.37I 18.62%NM 17.33%EV -5.59%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.23%EV -7.68%E -5.05%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 21.44%EV -5.90%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-05 10:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -6.82%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.19%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -6.77%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 10:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -6.82%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.19%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -6.77%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 10:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -6.82%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.77%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -6.82%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.81%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -8.94%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-05 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.70%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -5.68%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 10:30 |
| Betway | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -7.70%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -6.12%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-05 10:35 |
| Bet Right | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -7.70%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.94%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Bet Victor | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -7.70%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.94%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-05 10:54 |
| Bovada | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -8.58%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.77%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 10:55 |
| BetUS | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -8.58%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.94%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 10:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -8.58%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -9.50%E -6.38%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -11.10%E -2.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-05 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -8.58%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -9.50%E -6.38%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -11.10%E -2.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-05 10:50 |
| Betsson | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.07%EV -9.45%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.04%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-05 10:30 |
| NordicBet | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.07%EV -9.45%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.04%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-05 10:30 |
| LeoVegas | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -12.09%E -2.42%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.02%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-05 10:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -12.09%E -2.42%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.94%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 10:30 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -12.09%E -2.42%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-05 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.09%E -2.42%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.19%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.94%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-05 10:30 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.09%E -2.42%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.09%E -2.42%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.09%E -2.42%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.09%E -2.42%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.94%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-05 10:35 |
| PlayUp | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -12.09%E -2.42%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -7.68%E -5.05%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-05 10:50 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -12.09%E -2.42%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -12.54%E -8.71%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -8.94%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-05 10:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -15.61%E -3.25%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.87%EV -7.68%E -5.05%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -6.77%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-05 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.61%E -3.25%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-05 10:55 |
| Neds | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.61%E -3.25%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-05 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -19.12%E -4.16%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.43%EV -10.11%E -6.83%K -21.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -11.10%E -2.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-05 10:30 |
| BoyleSports | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -20.88%E -4.64%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -8.94%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-05 10:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.85% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.85% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 10:55 |
| Kalshi | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.85% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.33% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.82% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 10:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 10:45 |
| Matchbook | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 10:45 |