مدرسة الاحتمالات

Qingdao Hainiu FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

البداية: 2026-07-05 11:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Qingdao Hainiu FC 1–1 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Qingdao Hainiu FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 17.58%5.69السعر العادل
EV +1.97%
الأفضلية +0.340%
Kelly +0.411%
النمو +0.008%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.03%17.67%17.42%19.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.225.255.8022.22%19.17%19.05%17.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 60.74%1.65السعر العادل
EV -4.64%
الأفضلية -2.96%
Kelly -8.15%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.91%60.63%60.90%62.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.441.521.531.5769.44%65.66%65.36%63.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 21.68%4.61السعر العادل
EV -3.30%
الأفضلية -0.740%
Kelly -0.954%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.46

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.02%21.70%21.68%22.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.214.224.4625.00%23.73%23.67%22.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +1.97%E +0.340%K +0.411%G +0.008%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -10.11%E -6.83%K -21.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.60%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 10:49
SportsBet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV +0.215%E +0.038%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.34%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.60%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 10:50
Pinnacle5.52I 18.12%NM 17.38%EV -2.95%E -0.534%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.11%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.51%EV -3.30%E -0.740%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 10:55
1xBet5.51I 18.15%NM 16.95%EV -3.13%E -0.567%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -11.10%E -2.71%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 10:50
DraftKings5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -3.30%E -0.600%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.04%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -4.60%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 10:45
Coolbet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -3.30%E -0.600%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -4.60%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 10:20
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -3.30%E -0.600%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -7.68%E -5.05%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 10:15
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -3.30%E -0.600%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.94%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 10:20
Marathon Bet5.45I 18.35%NM 17.00%EV -4.18%E -0.767%K -0.939%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.95%EV -7.68%E -5.05%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.94%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 10:40
TABtouch5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -5.06%E -0.937%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 10:50
Grosvenor5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -5.06%E -0.937%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 10:50
Unibet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -5.06%E -0.937%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 10:50
Unibet (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -5.06%E -0.937%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 10:50
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -5.06%E -0.937%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 10:50
betPARX5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -5.06%E -0.937%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 10:50
BetRivers5.40I 18.52%NM 17.20%EV -5.06%E -0.937%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.69%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -8.94%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-05 10:50
GTbets5.37I 18.62%NM 17.33%EV -5.59%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.23%EV -7.68%E -5.05%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.44%EV -5.90%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 10:30
LowVig.ag5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -6.82%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.19%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -6.77%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 10:55
BetOnline.ag5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -6.82%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.19%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -6.77%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 10:55
Tipico (DE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -6.82%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.77%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -6.82%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.81%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -8.94%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 10:50
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.70%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -5.68%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 10:30
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -7.70%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -6.12%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 10:35
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -7.70%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.94%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 10:20
Bet Victor5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -7.70%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.94%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-05 10:54
Bovada5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -8.58%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.77%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 10:55
BetUS5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -8.58%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.94%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 10:55
LiveScore Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -8.58%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -9.50%E -6.38%K -19.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -11.10%E -2.71%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-05 10:50
Virgin Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -8.58%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -9.50%E -6.38%K -19.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -11.10%E -2.71%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-05 10:50
Betsson5.15I 19.42%NM 18.07%EV -9.45%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.04%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 10:30
NordicBet5.15I 19.42%NM 18.07%EV -9.45%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.04%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 10:30
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -12.09%E -2.42%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.02%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 10:30
Codere (IT)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -12.09%E -2.42%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.94%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 10:30
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -12.09%E -2.42%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-05 10:50
Unibet (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.09%E -2.42%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.19%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.94%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 10:30
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.09%E -2.42%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-05 10:25
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.09%E -2.42%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-05 10:25
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.09%E -2.42%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-05 10:25
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.09%E -2.42%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.94%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-05 10:35
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -12.09%E -2.42%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -7.68%E -5.05%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-05 10:50
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -12.09%E -2.42%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -12.54%E -8.71%K -28.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -8.94%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-05 10:50
Winamax (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -15.61%E -3.25%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.87%EV -7.68%E -5.05%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -6.77%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-05 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.61%E -3.25%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-05 10:55
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.61%E -3.25%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-05 10:55
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -19.12%E -4.16%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.43%EV -10.11%E -6.83%K -21.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -11.10%E -2.71%K -3.58%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-05 10:30
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -20.88%E -4.64%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -8.94%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-05 10:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.85%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%0.7%2026-07-05 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.85%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%0.7%2026-07-05 10:55
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 16.85%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.33%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.82%0.9%2026-07-05 10:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-07-05 10:45
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-07-05 10:45