Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.81
assuming max odds 4.29
assuming max odds 4.38
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liaoning Tieren FC (Local): 54.27%; Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit): 23.18%; Draw: 22.55%. For Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.29, with an expected value of -0.539%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.05%EV -1.78%E -0.982%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -14.31%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-25 10:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.05%EV -1.78%E -0.982%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -14.31%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-25 10:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.05%EV -1.78%E -0.982%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -14.31%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-25 10:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.05%EV -1.78%E -0.982%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -14.31%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-25 10:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.05%EV -1.78%E -0.982%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -14.31%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-25 10:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.05%EV -1.78%E -0.982%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -14.31%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-25 10:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.05%EV -1.78%E -0.982%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -14.31%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-25 10:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.16%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -15.44%E -4.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-25 10:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.18%EV -5.41%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.40%EV -8.90%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-25 11:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.03%E -2.88%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-25 11:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -5.03%E -2.88%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.56%EV -7.96%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 22.98%EV -8.22%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -5.03%E -2.88%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -5.03%E -2.88%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -15.38%E -4.21%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.22%EV -16.57%E -4.48%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-25 10:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -5.03%E -2.88%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -15.38%E -4.21%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.22%EV -16.57%E -4.48%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-25 10:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -5.58%E -3.21%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 11:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -5.58%E -3.21%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -5.58%E -3.21%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -10.74%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-25 11:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.12%E -3.54%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -6.12%E -3.54%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.90%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-25 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.12%E -3.54%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-25 11:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.75%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.35%EV -0.539%E -0.126%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.89%EV -1.23%E -0.282%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -4.94%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 11:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.42%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -8.67%E -2.14%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.42%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -8.67%E -2.14%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -7.20%E -4.21%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -2.63%E -0.625%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -3.04%E -0.706%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-25 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -7.20%E -4.21%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -2.63%E -0.625%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -3.04%E -0.706%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -7.20%E -4.21%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -2.63%E -0.625%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -3.04%E -0.706%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-25 11:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-25 11:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-25 11:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.89%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.62%EV -8.67%E -2.14%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-25 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.90%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-25 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.29%E -4.91%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -4.94%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.29%E -4.91%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -4.94%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-25 11:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -9.38%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -2.36%E -0.545%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-25 11:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -9.38%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -9.38%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-25 11:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.37%EV -9.38%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.37%EV -9.38%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -9.38%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.90%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -14.31%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-25 11:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.48%EV -11.00%E -6.71%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -15.38%E -4.21%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.80% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.80% | 0.8% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.10% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 1.3% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.6% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36% | 1.6% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.13% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18% | 2.5% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |