The School of Odds

Liaoning Tieren FC v Qingdao West Coast FC

2026-07-25 11:35 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)

Prediction 47.14%2.12fair odd
EV -5.26%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -5.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.29%47.08%47.04%47.54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.821.951.952.0155%51%51%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit)

Prediction 27.63%3.62fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -0.946%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.71%27.60%27.60%28.56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.953.303.303.5034%30%30%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 25.24%3.96fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -0.735%
Kelly -0.993%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.39%25.31%25.36%26.71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.353.643.643.8530%27%27%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.51%EV -5.26%E -2.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -3.31%E -0.946%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.20%EV -4.35%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 12:10
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 47.30%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.34%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.36%EV -5.86%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 13:05
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -2.83%E -0.735%K -0.993%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 12:10
SportsBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.22%EV -6.20%E -3.12%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.45%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -4.09%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 12:10
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -6.67%E -3.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.45%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.14%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 12:00
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -6.67%E -3.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.45%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.14%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 12:00
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -7.61%E -3.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.62%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 12:10
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.54%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.19%EV -7.12%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 11:55
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.09%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 12:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.09%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 12:10
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -5.36%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 12:10
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.14%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 12:00
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -14.19%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 12:45
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -14.19%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 12:45
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -9.03%E -4.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -9.14%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 12:00
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -9.97%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -9.14%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 12:10
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 46.92%EV -12.33%E -6.63%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -11.66%E -3.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-18 12:00
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 46.29%EV -14.21%E -7.81%K -17.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.56%EV -18.50%E -6.27%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.15%EV -15.45%E -4.61%K -6.57%G +0.000%18.7%2026-07-18 12:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.26%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%16.4%2026-07-18 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.26%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%16.4%2026-07-18 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 39.65%2.56I 39.06%NM 30.98%2.70I 37.04%NM 29.37%26.1%2026-07-18 13:35