L’École des cotes

Liaoning Tieren FC v Qingdao West Coast FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-25 11:35 UTC

Score final : Liaoning Tieren FC 0–1 Qingdao West Coast FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)

Prévision 54.27%1.84cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -0.982%
Kelly -2.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.05%54.15%54.18%55.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.641.731.721.8160.98%57.84%58.14%55.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Qingdao West Coast FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.18%4.31cote équitable
EV -0.539%
Avantage -0.126%
Kelly -0.164%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.35%23.24%23.23%24.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.653.913.904.2927.40%25.60%25.64%23.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.55%4.43cote équitable
EV -1.23%
Avantage -0.282%
Kelly -0.365%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.39%22.61%22.60%24.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.004.004.3827.03%24.98%25.00%22.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 51.05%EV -1.78%E -0.982%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -14.31%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 10:25
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.05%EV -1.78%E -0.982%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -14.31%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 10:25
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 51.05%EV -1.78%E -0.982%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -14.31%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 10:20
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.05%EV -1.78%E -0.982%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -14.31%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 10:20
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.05%EV -1.78%E -0.982%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -14.31%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 10:25
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.05%EV -1.78%E -0.982%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -14.31%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 10:20
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 51.05%EV -1.78%E -0.982%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -14.31%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 10:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.16%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -15.44%E -4.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 10:20
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.18%EV -5.41%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.40%EV -8.90%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 11:24
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.03%E -2.88%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 11:14
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -5.03%E -2.88%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.56%EV -7.96%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 22.98%EV -8.22%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 11:30
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -5.03%E -2.88%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 11:15
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -5.03%E -2.88%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -15.38%E -4.21%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.22%EV -16.57%E -4.48%K -6.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-25 10:20
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -5.03%E -2.88%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -15.38%E -4.21%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.22%EV -16.57%E -4.48%K -6.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-25 10:20
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -5.58%E -3.21%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 11:25
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -5.58%E -3.21%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 11:30
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -5.58%E -3.21%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -10.74%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 11:14
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.12%E -3.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 11:30
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -6.12%E -3.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.90%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 11:15
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.12%E -3.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 11:15
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 55.75%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.35%EV -0.539%E -0.126%K -0.164%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.89%EV -1.23%E -0.282%K -0.365%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 11:30
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -4.94%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 11:10
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.42%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -8.67%E -2.14%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 11:30
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.42%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -8.67%E -2.14%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 11:30
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -7.20%E -4.21%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -2.63%E -0.625%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -3.04%E -0.706%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 11:29
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -7.20%E -4.21%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -2.63%E -0.625%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -3.04%E -0.706%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 11:30
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -7.20%E -4.21%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -2.63%E -0.625%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -3.04%E -0.706%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 11:30
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 11:30
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 11:29
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 11:23
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 11:24
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 53.89%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.62%EV -8.67%E -2.14%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 11:30
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 11:10
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.90%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 11:29
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.29%E -4.91%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -4.94%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 11:30
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.29%E -4.91%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -4.94%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 11:10
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -9.38%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -2.36%E -0.545%K -0.709%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 11:29
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -9.38%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -9.38%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-25 11:24
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.37%EV -9.38%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-25 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.37%EV -9.38%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-25 11:30
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -9.38%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.90%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -14.31%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-25 11:15
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.48%EV -11.00%E -6.71%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -15.38%E -4.21%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 11:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.80%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.80%0.8%2026-07-25 11:30
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%1.3%2026-07-25 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-07-25 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%1.6%2026-07-25 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.13%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%2.5%2026-07-25 11:30