Language:English
Liaoning Tieren FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)
Prediction 43.16%2.32fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -3.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.56%43.05%43.21%43.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.2350.00%46.45%46.51%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit)
Prediction 29.84%3.35fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.459%
Kelly -0.658%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.70%29.95%29.87%31.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.033.003.3035.71%33.00%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.00%3.70fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -0.628%
Kelly -0.868%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.12%27.00%26.92%28.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.423.453.6233.33%29.23%28.99%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liaoning Tieren FC (Local): 43.16%; Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit): 29.84%; Draw: 27.00%. For Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.35. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -1.51%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -13.45%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -13.45%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -13.45%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -13.45%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -13.45%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -13.45%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -13.45%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-19 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.55%EV -4.62%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.26%EV -1.81%E -0.551%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.19%EV -4.43%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -3.01%E -0.925%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -8.98%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 11:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -14.05%E -4.88%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.75%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.90%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.35%EV -2.27%E -0.628%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-18 11:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-18 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -14.94%E -5.24%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -6.34%E -2.92%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-20 02:46 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.85%EV -6.78%E -3.14%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -1.51%E -0.459%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.85%EV -6.78%E -3.14%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -1.51%E -0.459%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.85%EV -6.78%E -3.14%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -1.51%E -0.459%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 16:58 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-19 17:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -16.44%E -5.87%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -16.44%E -5.87%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.34%EV -4.97%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-20 02:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-19 17:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -8.98%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-19 09:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-19 09:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -13.45%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-18 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -16.44%E -5.87%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-18 11:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -16.44%E -5.87%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -19.01%E -6.34%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-05-19 17:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 44.02% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.97% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.01% | 0.1% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.06% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17% | 2.2% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.06% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17% | 2.2% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.06% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17% | 2.2% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.06% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17% | 2.2% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |