La scuola delle quote

Liaoning Tieren FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC

Inizio: 2026-05-20 11:00 UTC

Finale: Liaoning Tieren FC 2–1 Qingdao Hainiu FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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41 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Liaoning Tieren FC (Casa)

Previsione 43.16%2.32quota equa
EV -3.75%
Vantaggio -1.68%
Kelly -3.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.23

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.56%43.05%43.21%43.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.152.152.2350.00%46.45%46.51%44.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.84%3.35quota equa
EV -1.51%
Vantaggio -0.459%
Kelly -0.658%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.70%29.95%29.87%31.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.033.003.3035.71%33.00%33.33%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.00%3.70quota equa
EV -2.27%
Vantaggio -0.628%
Kelly -0.868%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.12%27.00%26.92%28.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.423.453.6233.33%29.23%28.99%27.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (41 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -13.45%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 22:59
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -13.45%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 22:59
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -13.45%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 22:59
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -13.45%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 22:59
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -13.45%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 22:59
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -13.45%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 22:59
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -13.45%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 23:00
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.55%EV -4.62%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.26%EV -1.81%E -0.551%K -0.792%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.19%EV -4.43%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 02:49
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -3.01%E -0.925%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 22:59
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 02:49
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -8.98%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 11:19
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -14.05%E -4.88%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 22:59
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.75%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.90%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.35%EV -2.27%E -0.628%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 02:49
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 11:20
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -14.94%E -5.24%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-19 22:59
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -6.34%E -2.92%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 02:46
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.85%EV -6.78%E -3.14%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -1.51%E -0.459%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 02:49
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.85%EV -6.78%E -3.14%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -1.51%E -0.459%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 02:49
BetUS2.16I 46.30%NM 43.85%EV -6.78%E -3.14%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -1.51%E -0.459%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 02:49
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 02:49
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 16:58
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 02:49
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.51%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-19 17:00
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-20 02:49
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -16.44%E -5.87%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-19 22:59
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -16.44%E -5.87%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-19 22:59
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.34%EV -4.97%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-20 02:49
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-20 02:49
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-20 02:48
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-19 22:59
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-19 22:59
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-19 22:59
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-19 22:59
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-19 17:00
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -8.98%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-20 02:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-19 09:30
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-19 09:30
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -13.45%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-18 11:20
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -16.44%E -5.87%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-18 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -16.44%E -5.87%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -19.01%E -6.34%K -9.51%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-19 17:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 44.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.01%0.1%2026-05-20 02:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%2.2%2026-05-20 02:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%2.2%2026-05-20 02:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%2.2%2026-05-20 02:49
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%2.2%2026-05-19 22:59