Language:English
Liaoning Tieren FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)
Prediction 42.90%2.33fair odd
EV -3.91%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -3.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.54%42.95%42.96%44.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.152.152.2449.50%46.59%46.51%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit)
Prediction 28.32%3.53fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.664%
Kelly -0.934%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.19%28.28%28.37%29.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.273.303.4533.33%30.59%30.30%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.78%3.47fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -0.631%
Kelly -0.894%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.69%28.78%28.67%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.253.4033.33%31.14%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liaoning Tieren FC (Local): 42.90%; Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit): 28.32%; Draw: 28.78%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -2.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.92%EV -3.91%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.95%EV -2.57%E -0.748%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -4.77%E -2.15%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -2.29%E -0.664%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -4.77%E -2.15%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -2.29%E -0.664%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03%EV -3.99%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 10:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -15.03%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -15.03%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -6.05%E -2.76%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.40%EV -6.82%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.93%EV -7.04%E -2.18%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -6.48%E -2.97%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -6.48%E -2.97%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -7.34%E -3.40%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.15%E -0.631%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -3.58%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -11.64%E -3.73%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 10:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.31%EV -8.20%E -3.83%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.61%EV -6.75%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -9.06%E -4.27%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -2.15%E -0.631%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 09:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -9.92%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -10.79%E -3.42%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.92%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-04 10:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -10.77%E -5.18%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -10.77%E -5.18%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -10.77%E -5.18%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -10.77%E -5.18%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 22:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -10.77%E -5.18%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 22:41 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -10.77%E -5.18%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -10.77%E -5.18%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -12.06%E -5.88%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-29 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -12.06%E -5.88%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -13.62%E -4.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -13.35%E -6.61%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-29 22:41 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -13.35%E -6.61%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-29 22:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64% | 0.7% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64% | 0.7% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |