La scuola delle quote

Liaoning Tieren FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Inizio: 2026-07-04 11:00 UTC

Finale: Liaoning Tieren FC 3–1 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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41 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Liaoning Tieren FC (Casa)

Previsione 42.90%2.33quota equa
EV -3.91%
Vantaggio -1.75%
Kelly -3.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.24

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.54%42.95%42.96%44.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.022.152.152.2449.50%46.59%46.51%44.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.32%3.53quota equa
EV -2.29%
Vantaggio -0.664%
Kelly -0.934%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.19%28.28%28.37%29.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.273.303.4533.33%30.59%30.30%28.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.78%3.47quota equa
EV -2.15%
Vantaggio -0.631%
Kelly -0.894%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.69%28.78%28.67%30.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.213.253.4033.33%31.14%30.77%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (41 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 42.92%EV -3.91%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.95%EV -2.57%E -0.748%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 10:45
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -4.77%E -2.15%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -2.29%E -0.664%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 10:45
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -4.77%E -2.15%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -2.29%E -0.664%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 10:45
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03%EV -3.99%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 10:50
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 10:45
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 10:49
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 10:50
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 10:45
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 10:55
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 10:50
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 10:55
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 10:50
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -15.03%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-04 10:50
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -15.03%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-04 10:50
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -6.05%E -2.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.40%EV -6.82%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.93%EV -7.04%E -2.18%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 10:50
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -6.48%E -2.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 10:45
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -6.48%E -2.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 10:45
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -7.34%E -3.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 10:45
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.15%E -0.631%K -0.894%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 10:55
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -3.58%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 10:55
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 10:50
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 10:50
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 10:55
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 10:45
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -11.64%E -3.73%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 10:48
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.31%EV -8.20%E -3.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.61%EV -6.75%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 10:45
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -9.06%E -4.27%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -2.15%E -0.631%K -0.894%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 09:49
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -9.92%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -10.79%E -3.42%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-04 10:45
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.92%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-04 10:54
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -10.77%E -5.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 22:40
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -10.77%E -5.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 22:40
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -10.77%E -5.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 22:40
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -10.77%E -5.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 22:40
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -10.77%E -5.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 22:41
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -10.77%E -5.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 22:40
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -10.77%E -5.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -12.06%E -5.88%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-29 22:40
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -12.06%E -5.88%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -13.62%E -4.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-04 10:45
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -13.35%E -6.61%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-29 22:41
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -13.35%E -6.61%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-29 22:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-07-04 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-07-04 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-07-04 10:55
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-07-04 10:55