Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Henan FC v Wuhan Three Towns

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 11:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Henan FC (Local)

Prediction 63.32%1.58fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -7.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.48%63.18%63.40%64.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.451.451.5275.76%69.03%68.97%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wuhan Three Towns (Visit)

Prediction 16.16%6.19fair odd
EV +0.545%
Edge +0.088%
Kelly +0.104%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 6.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.06%16.29%16.11%17.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.675.756.2220.41%17.62%17.39%16.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.52%4.87fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -0.537%
Kelly -0.680%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.77%20.53%20.49%22.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.424.504.7526.67%22.63%22.22%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Henan FC (Local): 63.32%; Wuhan Three Towns (Visit): 16.16%; Draw: 20.52%. For Wuhan Three Towns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.545%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.17%EV -7.55%E -5.17%K -16.42%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.06%EV +0.545%E +0.088%K +0.104%G +0.001%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.77%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 10:55
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.18I 16.18%NM 15.48%EV -0.102%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.75%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 10:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.42%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.07%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -3.58%E -0.761%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 10:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.42%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.07%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -3.58%E -0.761%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 10:35
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.42%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.07%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -3.58%E -0.761%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 10:35
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.60%EV -5.65%E -3.79%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -5.63%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 10:55
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.33%EV -6.92%E -4.71%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -2.55%E -0.537%K -0.680%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 10:50
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 10:55
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -6.92%E -4.71%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 10:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 10:54
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.45%E -6.61%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 10:45
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.45%E -6.61%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 07:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.45%E -6.61%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 07:25
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.45%E -6.61%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 07:24
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.45%E -6.61%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 07:24
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.45%E -6.61%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 07:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.45%E -6.61%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 07:25
LeoVegas🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.45%E -6.61%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 07:24
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.45%E -6.61%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.09%EV -10.09%E -7.10%K -24.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -6.24%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 07:24
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -8.82%E -6.12%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.60%EV -6.24%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -13.83%E -3.29%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.12%EV -11.35%E -8.11%K -28.38%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -6.24%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -9.73%E -2.21%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 07:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.12%EV -11.35%E -8.11%K -28.38%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -6.24%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -9.73%E -2.21%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 07:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -6.92%E -4.71%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -7.05%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 10:49
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -7.05%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -9.73%E -2.21%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 10:55
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -7.05%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -9.73%E -2.21%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 10:44
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.82%E -6.12%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -7.05%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -13.83%E -3.29%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.82%E -6.12%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -7.05%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -13.83%E -3.29%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 10:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.82%E -6.12%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -7.05%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -13.83%E -3.29%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 10:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -7.86%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 10:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.09%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -5.63%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 10:45
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -6.92%E -4.71%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.09%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -6.65%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 10:45
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -6.92%E -4.71%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.09%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -6.65%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 10:45
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -11.09%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -15.89%E -3.87%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 10:35
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.49%EV -11.09%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.95%EV -11.17%E -2.58%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 10:34
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.82%E -6.12%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.09%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.17%E -2.58%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 10:45
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.30%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.12%EV -11.74%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.58%EV -6.86%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 10:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.70%EV -7.55%E -5.17%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -12.71%E -2.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 10:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 63.33%EV -16.42%E -12.44%K -51.31%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 15.77%EV -14.33%E -2.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.90%EV -17.94%E -4.48%K -5.98%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-21 10:45
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -15.13%E -2.88%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 10:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.73%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -15.94%E -3.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -5.63%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 10:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 62.45%EV -13.25%E -9.67%K -35.82%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 16.94%EV -18.37%E -3.64%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.61%EV -14.86%E -3.58%K -4.72%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-21 10:45
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -19.18%E -3.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -13.83%E -3.29%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 10:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -19.18%E -3.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -13.83%E -3.29%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 10:35
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -8.82%E -6.12%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -19.18%E -3.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -13.83%E -3.29%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-21 10:35
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 62.00%EV -11.99%E -8.62%K -30.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.24%EV -19.18%E -3.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.77%EV -14.86%E -3.58%K -4.72%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-21 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 60.48%EV -11.35%E -8.11%K -28.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.94%EV -19.18%E -3.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.58%EV -23.07%E -6.15%K -8.39%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-21 10:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.01%EV -10.09%E -7.10%K -24.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -20.79%E -4.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.01%EV -9.73%E -2.21%K -2.86%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-21 10:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.04%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-03-21 10:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.04%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-03-21 10:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.04%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-03-21 10:45
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 64.34%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38%2.2%2026-03-21 10:55
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.00%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.56%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.44%2.8%2026-03-21 10:50