La escuela de los momios

Henan FC v Wuhan Three Towns

Inicio: 2026-03-21 11:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Henan FC (Local)

Predicción 63.32%1.58momio equitativo
EV -3.75%
Ventaja -2.47%
Kelly -7.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.48%63.18%63.40%64.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.451.451.5275.76%69.03%68.97%65.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Wuhan Three Towns (Visitante)

Predicción 16.16%6.19momio equitativo
EV +0.545%
Ventaja +0.088%
Kelly +0.104%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.06%16.29%16.11%17.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.905.675.756.2220.41%17.62%17.39%16.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.52%4.87momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -0.537%
Kelly -0.680%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.77%20.53%20.49%22.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.424.504.7526.67%22.63%22.22%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.17%EV -7.55%E -5.17%K -16.42%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.06%EV +0.545%E +0.088%K +0.104%G +0.001%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.77%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 10:55
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.18I 16.18%NM 15.48%EV -0.102%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.75%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 10:45
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.42%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.07%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -3.58%E -0.761%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 10:35
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.42%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.07%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -3.58%E -0.761%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 10:35
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 63.42%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.07%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -3.58%E -0.761%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 10:35
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.60%EV -5.65%E -3.79%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -5.63%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 10:55
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.33%EV -6.92%E -4.71%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -2.55%E -0.537%K -0.680%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 10:50
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 10:55
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -6.92%E -4.71%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 10:45
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 10:54
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.45%E -6.61%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 10:45
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.45%E -6.61%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 07:25
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.45%E -6.61%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 07:25
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.45%E -6.61%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 07:24
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.45%E -6.61%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 07:24
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.45%E -6.61%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 07:24
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.45%E -6.61%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 07:25
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.45%E -6.61%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 07:24
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.45%E -6.61%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -3.01%E -0.502%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.09%EV -10.09%E -7.10%K -24.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -6.24%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 07:24
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -8.82%E -6.12%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.60%EV -6.24%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -13.83%E -3.29%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 10:55
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.12%EV -11.35%E -8.11%K -28.38%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -6.24%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -9.73%E -2.21%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 07:25
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.12%EV -11.35%E -8.11%K -28.38%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -6.24%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -9.73%E -2.21%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 07:24
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -6.92%E -4.71%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -7.05%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 10:49
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -7.05%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -9.73%E -2.21%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 10:55
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -7.05%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -9.73%E -2.21%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 10:44
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.82%E -6.12%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -7.05%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -13.83%E -3.29%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 10:55
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.82%E -6.12%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -7.05%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -13.83%E -3.29%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 10:55
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.82%E -6.12%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -7.05%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -13.83%E -3.29%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 10:55
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -7.86%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 10:50
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.09%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -5.63%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 10:45
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -6.92%E -4.71%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.09%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -6.65%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 10:45
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -6.92%E -4.71%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.09%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -6.65%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 10:45
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -11.09%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -15.89%E -3.87%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 10:35
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.49%EV -11.09%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.95%EV -11.17%E -2.58%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 10:34
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.82%E -6.12%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.09%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.17%E -2.58%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 10:45
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 62.30%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.12%EV -11.74%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.58%EV -6.86%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 10:35
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.70%EV -7.55%E -5.17%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -12.71%E -2.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 10:50
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 63.33%EV -16.42%E -12.44%K -51.31%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 15.77%EV -14.33%E -2.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.90%EV -17.94%E -4.48%K -5.98%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-21 10:45
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -15.13%E -2.88%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 10:45
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.73%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -15.94%E -3.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -5.63%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 10:45
Unibet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 62.45%EV -13.25%E -9.67%K -35.82%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 16.94%EV -18.37%E -3.64%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.61%EV -14.86%E -3.58%K -4.72%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-21 10:45
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -19.18%E -3.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -13.83%E -3.29%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 10:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -19.18%E -3.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -13.83%E -3.29%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 10:35
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -8.82%E -6.12%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -19.18%E -3.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -13.83%E -3.29%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-21 10:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 62.00%EV -11.99%E -8.62%K -30.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.24%EV -19.18%E -3.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.77%EV -14.86%E -3.58%K -4.72%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-21 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 60.48%EV -11.35%E -8.11%K -28.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.94%EV -19.18%E -3.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.58%EV -23.07%E -6.15%K -8.39%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-21 10:45
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.01%EV -10.09%E -7.10%K -24.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -20.79%E -4.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.01%EV -9.73%E -2.21%K -2.86%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-21 10:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.04%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-03-21 10:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.04%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-03-21 10:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.04%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-03-21 10:45
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 64.34%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38%2.2%2026-03-21 10:55
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.00%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.56%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.44%2.8%2026-03-21 10:50