La scuola delle quote

Henan FC v Shenzhen Peng City FC

Inizio: 2026-05-15 11:35 UTC

Finale: Henan FC 1–0 Shenzhen Peng City FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Henan FC (Casa)

Previsione 62.71%1.59quota equa
EV -2.80%
Vantaggio -1.80%
Kelly -5.09%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.16%62.62%62.74%64.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.391.481.481.5571.94%67.49%67.57%64.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.36%6.51quota equa
EV +5.38%
Vantaggio +0.784%
Kelly +0.918%
Crescita +0.049%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.80%15.38%15.37%17.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.205.956.006.8619.23%16.81%16.67%14.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 21.93%4.56quota equa
EV -3.52%
Vantaggio -0.800%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.77%22.00%21.89%23.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.094.104.4026.32%24.43%24.39%22.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.21%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 13.95%EV +5.38%E +0.784%K +0.918%G +0.049%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.84%EV -3.96%E -0.904%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 11:29
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 63.85%EV -7.81%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.80%EV +4.46%E +0.656%K +0.769%G +0.034%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 11:19
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.27%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV +1.39%E +0.210%K +0.247%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 11:29
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.27%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV +1.39%E +0.210%K +0.247%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 11:29
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.46%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -0.150%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 11:19
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -0.150%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -5.06%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 11:10
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.57%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.97%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -3.99%E -0.639%K -0.760%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -3.52%E -0.800%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 11:20
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.99%E -0.639%K -0.760%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 11:28
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -7.81%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -3.99%E -0.639%K -0.760%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 11:20
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -9.07%E -6.25%K -20.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -3.99%E -0.639%K -0.760%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 11:09
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.62%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.97%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.32%EV -7.06%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 11:30
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 15.54%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.19%EV -7.69%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 11:29
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.02%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -4.62%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 11:19
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 11:18
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -14.48%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:19
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -14.48%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:19
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -14.48%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:18
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -14.48%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:20
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -14.48%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:19
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -14.48%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:20
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.81%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 11:15
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.81%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 11:14
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 62.86%EV -8.44%E -5.78%K -18.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 11:19
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 11:19
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 11:20
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 11:19
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 11:19
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 11:20
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 61.12%EV -2.80%E -1.80%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.06%EV -9.37%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.83%EV -9.00%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 11:10
Codere (IT)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.37%EV -7.81%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -10.90%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 11:25
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 60.70%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -10.90%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -14.48%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 11:20
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 60.51%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -10.90%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -15.58%E -4.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-15 11:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.67%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -10.90%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -15.58%E -4.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 11:19
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.56%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.69%EV -11.67%E -2.03%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -16.68%E -4.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-15 11:19
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.56%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.69%EV -11.67%E -2.03%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -16.68%E -4.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-15 11:20
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.88%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.28%EV -12.44%E -2.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:29
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.88%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.28%EV -12.44%E -2.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:29
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -15.51%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-15 11:18
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.61%EV -8.44%E -5.78%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -15.51%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -3.52%E -0.800%K -1.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-15 11:19
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -15.51%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -15.58%E -4.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-15 11:29
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.51%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-15 11:15
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.51%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-15 11:09
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 62.66%EV -12.83%E -9.23%K -32.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -15.51%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.51%EV -11.20%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-15 11:19
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -19.35%E -3.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-15 11:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -19.35%E -3.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-15 11:09
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.75%EV -10.95%E -7.71%K -26.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.86%EV -20.12%E -3.87%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-15 11:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-15 11:19
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-15 11:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.60%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-05-15 11:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.75%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.44%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.82%1.9%2026-05-15 11:28
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.72%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57%1.9%2026-05-15 11:30