L’École des cotes

Henan FC v Shenzhen Peng City FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-15 11:35 UTC

Score final : Henan FC 1–0 Shenzhen Peng City FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Henan FC (Local)

Prévision 62.71%1.59cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -5.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.16%62.62%62.74%64.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.391.481.481.5571.94%67.49%67.57%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.36%6.51cote équitable
EV +5.38%
Avantage +0.784%
Kelly +0.918%
Croissance +0.049%

avec la cote maximale 6.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.80%15.38%15.37%17.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.205.956.006.8619.23%16.81%16.67%14.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.93%4.56cote équitable
EV -3.52%
Avantage -0.800%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.77%22.00%21.89%23.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.094.104.4026.32%24.43%24.39%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.21%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 13.95%EV +5.38%E +0.784%K +0.918%G +0.049%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.84%EV -3.96%E -0.904%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 11:29
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 63.85%EV -7.81%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.80%EV +4.46%E +0.656%K +0.769%G +0.034%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 11:19
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.27%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV +1.39%E +0.210%K +0.247%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 11:29
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.27%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV +1.39%E +0.210%K +0.247%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 11:29
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.46%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -0.150%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 11:19
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -0.150%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -5.06%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 11:10
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.57%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.97%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -3.99%E -0.639%K -0.760%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -3.52%E -0.800%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 11:20
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.99%E -0.639%K -0.760%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 11:28
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -7.81%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -3.99%E -0.639%K -0.760%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 11:20
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -9.07%E -6.25%K -20.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -3.99%E -0.639%K -0.760%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 11:09
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.62%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.97%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.32%EV -7.06%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 11:30
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 15.54%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.19%EV -7.69%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 11:29
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.02%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -4.62%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 11:19
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 11:18
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -14.48%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:19
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -14.48%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:19
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -14.48%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:18
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -14.48%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:20
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -14.48%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:19
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -14.48%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:20
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.81%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 11:15
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.81%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 11:14
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 62.86%EV -8.44%E -5.78%K -18.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 11:19
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 11:19
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 11:20
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 11:19
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 11:19
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 11:20
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 61.12%EV -2.80%E -1.80%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.06%EV -9.37%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.83%EV -9.00%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 11:10
Codere (IT)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.37%EV -7.81%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -10.90%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 11:25
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 60.70%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -10.90%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -14.48%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 11:20
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 60.51%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -10.90%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -15.58%E -4.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-15 11:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.67%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -10.90%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -15.58%E -4.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 11:19
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.56%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.69%EV -11.67%E -2.03%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -16.68%E -4.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-15 11:19
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.56%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.69%EV -11.67%E -2.03%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -16.68%E -4.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-15 11:20
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.88%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.28%EV -12.44%E -2.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:29
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.88%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.28%EV -12.44%E -2.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:29
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -15.51%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-15 11:18
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.61%EV -8.44%E -5.78%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -15.51%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -3.52%E -0.800%K -1.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-15 11:19
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -15.51%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -15.58%E -4.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-15 11:29
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.51%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-15 11:15
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.51%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-15 11:09
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 62.66%EV -12.83%E -9.23%K -32.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -15.51%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.51%EV -11.20%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-15 11:19
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -19.35%E -3.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-15 11:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -19.35%E -3.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-15 11:09
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.75%EV -10.95%E -7.71%K -26.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.86%EV -20.12%E -3.87%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-15 11:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-15 11:19
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-15 11:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.60%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-05-15 11:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.75%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.44%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.82%1.9%2026-05-15 11:28
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.72%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57%1.9%2026-05-15 11:30