La escuela de los momios

Henan FC v Shenzhen Peng City FC

Inicio: 2026-05-15 11:35 UTC

Final: Henan FC 1–0 Shenzhen Peng City FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Henan FC (Local)

Predicción 62.71%1.59momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -1.80%
Kelly -5.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.16%62.62%62.74%64.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.391.481.481.5571.94%67.49%67.57%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visitante)

Predicción 15.36%6.51momio equitativo
EV +5.38%
Ventaja +0.784%
Kelly +0.918%
Crecimiento +0.049%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.80%15.38%15.37%17.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.205.956.006.8619.23%16.81%16.67%14.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.93%4.56momio equitativo
EV -3.52%
Ventaja -0.800%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.77%22.00%21.89%23.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.094.104.4026.32%24.43%24.39%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.21%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 13.95%EV +5.38%E +0.784%K +0.918%G +0.049%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.84%EV -3.96%E -0.904%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 11:29
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 63.85%EV -7.81%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.80%EV +4.46%E +0.656%K +0.769%G +0.034%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 11:19
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.27%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV +1.39%E +0.210%K +0.247%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 11:29
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.27%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV +1.39%E +0.210%K +0.247%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 11:29
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.46%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -0.150%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 11:19
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -0.150%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -5.06%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 11:10
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.57%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.97%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -3.99%E -0.639%K -0.760%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -3.52%E -0.800%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 11:20
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.99%E -0.639%K -0.760%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 11:28
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -7.81%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -3.99%E -0.639%K -0.760%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 11:20
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -9.07%E -6.25%K -20.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -3.99%E -0.639%K -0.760%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 11:09
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.62%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.97%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.32%EV -7.06%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 11:30
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 15.54%EV -7.68%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.19%EV -7.69%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 11:29
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.02%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -4.62%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 11:19
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.71%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 11:18
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -14.48%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:19
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -14.48%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:19
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -14.48%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:18
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -14.48%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:20
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -14.48%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:19
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -14.48%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:20
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.81%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 11:15
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.81%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 11:14
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 62.86%EV -8.44%E -5.78%K -18.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 11:19
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 11:19
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 11:20
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 11:19
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 11:19
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.83%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 11:20
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 61.12%EV -2.80%E -1.80%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.06%EV -9.37%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.83%EV -9.00%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 11:10
Codere (IT)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.37%EV -7.81%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -10.90%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 11:25
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 60.70%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -10.90%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -14.48%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 11:20
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 60.51%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -10.90%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -15.58%E -4.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-15 11:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.67%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -10.90%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -15.58%E -4.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 11:19
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.56%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.69%EV -11.67%E -2.03%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -16.68%E -4.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-15 11:19
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.56%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.69%EV -11.67%E -2.03%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -16.68%E -4.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-15 11:20
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.88%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.28%EV -12.44%E -2.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:29
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.88%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.28%EV -12.44%E -2.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -6.81%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 11:29
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -15.51%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-15 11:18
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.61%EV -8.44%E -5.78%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -15.51%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -3.52%E -0.800%K -1.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-15 11:19
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -15.51%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -15.58%E -4.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-15 11:29
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.51%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-15 11:15
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.51%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-15 11:09
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 62.66%EV -12.83%E -9.23%K -32.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -15.51%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.51%EV -11.20%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-15 11:19
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -19.35%E -3.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-15 11:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -19.35%E -3.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-15 11:09
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.75%EV -10.95%E -7.71%K -26.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.86%EV -20.12%E -3.87%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-15 11:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-15 11:19
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-15 11:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.60%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-05-15 11:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.75%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.44%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.82%1.9%2026-05-15 11:28
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.72%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57%1.9%2026-05-15 11:30