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Henan FC v Qingdao West Coast FC

2026-08-09 11:00 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Henan FC (Local)

Prediction 57.99%1.72fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -6.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.76%58.08%57.90%58.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.591.601.6565.79%62.98%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit)

Prediction 18.97%5.27fair odd
EV +2.63%
Edge +0.486%
Kelly +0.596%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 5.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.41%18.83%19.10%20.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.774.755.4123.81%20.96%21.05%18.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.04%4.34fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -0.488%
Kelly -0.638%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.02%23.09%23.00%24.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.004.004.2526.32%24.97%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Henan FC (Local): 57.99%; Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit): 18.97%; Draw: 23.04%. For Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.27. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.41, producing a positive expected value of +2.63%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 58.50%EV -6.64%E -4.12%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.41%EV +2.63%E +0.486%K +0.596%G +0.016%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.09%EV -9.91%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 12:15
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -0.408%E -0.078%K -0.096%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -7.83%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 11:50
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.93%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -3.25%E -0.638%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.89%EV -10.60%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 11:39
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.15%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -3.22%E -0.768%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 11:58
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.12%EV -8.00%E -1.65%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -6.68%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 12:20
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.12%EV -8.00%E -1.65%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -6.68%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 12:19
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.49%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -8.94%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.07%E -0.488%K -0.638%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 12:04
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.49%EV -7.80%E -4.90%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -8.94%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -3.22%E -0.768%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 12:04
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.89%E -2.08%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.83%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 12:20
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.89%E -2.08%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.83%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 12:14
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.89%E -2.08%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.83%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 12:14
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.21%EV -8.38%E -5.30%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -9.89%E -2.08%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.53%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 12:20
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 57.75%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.29%EV -10.84%E -2.31%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -8.98%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 12:19
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -12.74%E -2.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.83%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 11:49
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -14.64%E -3.25%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.83%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 11:54
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.38%EV -11.28%E -7.37%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -14.64%E -3.25%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -12.44%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 12:19
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.04%EV -10.70%E -6.95%K -19.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.43%EV -18.43%E -4.29%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-02 12:20
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 56.76%EV -11.86%E -7.80%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.54%EV -20.33%E -4.84%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -12.44%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-02 12:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 52.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.77%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.19%19.3%2026-08-02 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 52.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.77%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.19%19.3%2026-08-02 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 52.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.77%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.19%19.3%2026-08-02 13:20