Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Henan FC v Qingdao West Coast FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-09 11:01 UTC

Final: Henan FC 0–0 Qingdao West Coast FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Henan FC (Local)

Prediction 59.59%1.68fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -5.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.58%59.54%59.51%61.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.561.6266.67%64.08%64.31%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit)

Prediction 17.22%5.81fair odd
EV +8.68%
Edge +1.38%
Kelly +1.63%
Growth +0.142%

assuming max odds 6.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.20%17.22%17.35%18.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.255.226.3121.28%19.06%19.14%15.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.18%4.31fair odd
EV -4.48%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.39%23.24%23.14%24.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.943.944.1226.67%25.39%25.41%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Henan FC (Local): 59.59%; Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit): 17.22%; Draw: 23.18%. For Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.81. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.68%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.07%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%6.31I 15.85%NM 15.20%EV +8.68%E +1.38%K +1.63%G +0.142%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.73%EV -6.34%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 10:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.57%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.05%EV +3.34%E +0.557%K +0.668%G +0.022%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.38%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 10:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.57%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.05%EV +3.34%E +0.557%K +0.668%G +0.022%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.38%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 10:05
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.38%EV -8.82%E -5.77%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV -0.104%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 10:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.77%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.11%EV -0.965%E -0.168%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.12%EV -10.97%E -2.86%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 10:59
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.59%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -1.83%E -0.320%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 11:00
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.77%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 16.94%EV -3.20%E -0.570%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.29%EV -9.12%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 10:04
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 10:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 10:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.42%E -6.20%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 10:00
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.90%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 11:00
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -10.61%E -7.07%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 10:55
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.09%EV -5.79%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 10:50
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.88%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.46%EV -8.72%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.85%EV -6.10%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 10:35
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.88%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.46%EV -8.72%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.85%EV -6.10%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 09:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -9.58%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 10:00
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.58%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 10:59
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.25%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -9.58%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.42%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 10:00
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.82%E -5.77%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.58%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 10:00
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.82%E -5.77%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.58%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 10:34
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.53%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.58%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 10:55
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -10.44%E -2.01%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 10:33
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.48%EV -8.23%E -5.34%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -10.44%E -2.01%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 10:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.80%EV -9.42%E -6.20%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -10.44%E -2.01%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 10:30
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:00
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 10:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.72%EV -8.23%E -5.34%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 11:00
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.82%E -5.77%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 10:30
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.61%E -7.07%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 10:55
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.82%E -5.77%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -11.90%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.82%E -5.77%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -11.90%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 10:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -15.60%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 04:50
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -15.60%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 04:50
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -15.60%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 04:49
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -15.60%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 04:50
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -15.60%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 04:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -15.60%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 04:50
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -15.60%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 04:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -15.60%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 04:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.62%EV -7.04%E -4.51%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.73%EV -17.33%E -3.61%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.90%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 04:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.62%EV -7.04%E -4.51%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.73%EV -17.33%E -3.61%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.90%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 04:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.85%EV -9.42%E -6.20%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%EV -19.05%E -4.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-09 11:00
BetUS🎯⚠ implausible6.00I 16.67%NM 16.05%EV +257.56%E +42.93%K +51.51%G +132.67%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.57%EV -72.61%E -45.67%K -123.08%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.38%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 10:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.79%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.8%2026-08-09 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.79%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.8%2026-08-09 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-08-09 11:00
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-08-09 11:00
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%4.1%2026-08-09 11:00

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