Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.31
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.12
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Henan FC (Local): 59.59%; Qingdao West Coast FC (Visitante): 17.22%; Empate: 23.18%. Para Qingdao West Coast FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.81. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.31, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +8.68%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.07%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 6.31I 15.85%NM 15.20%EV +8.68%E +1.38%K +1.63%G +0.142% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.73%EV -6.34%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 10:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.57%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.05%EV +3.34%E +0.557%K +0.668%G +0.022% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.38%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 10:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.57%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.05%EV +3.34%E +0.557%K +0.668%G +0.022% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.38%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 10:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.38%EV -8.82%E -5.77%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV -0.104%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 10:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.77%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.11%EV -0.965%E -0.168%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.12%EV -10.97%E -2.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 10:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.59%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -1.83%E -0.320%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 11:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.77%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.62I 17.79%NM 16.94%EV -3.20%E -0.570%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.29%EV -9.12%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 10:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 10:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 10:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.42%E -6.20%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 10:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.90%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 11:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -10.61%E -7.07%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 10:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.09%EV -5.79%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 10:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.46%EV -8.72%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.85%EV -6.10%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 10:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.46%EV -8.72%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.85%EV -6.10%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 09:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -9.58%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 10:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.58%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-09 10:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.25%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -9.58%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.42%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 10:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.82%E -5.77%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.58%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 10:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.82%E -5.77%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.58%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 10:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.53%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.58%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 10:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -10.44%E -2.01%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 10:33 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.48%EV -8.23%E -5.34%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -10.44%E -2.01%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-09 10:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.80%EV -9.42%E -6.20%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -10.44%E -2.01%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 10:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 11:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 10:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.72%EV -8.23%E -5.34%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 11:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.82%E -5.77%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 10:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.61%E -7.07%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-09 10:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.82%E -5.77%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -11.90%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-09 10:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.82%E -5.77%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -11.90%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-09 10:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -15.60%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 04:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -15.60%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 04:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -15.60%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 04:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -15.60%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 04:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -15.60%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 04:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -15.60%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 04:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -15.60%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 04:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -15.60%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-09 04:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.62%EV -7.04%E -4.51%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.73%EV -17.33%E -3.61%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.90%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-09 04:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.62%EV -7.04%E -4.51%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.73%EV -17.33%E -3.61%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.90%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-09 04:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.85%EV -9.42%E -6.20%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%EV -19.05%E -4.05%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-09 11:00 |
| BetUS🎯⚠ inverosímil | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.05%EV +257.56%E +42.93%K +51.51%G +132.67% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.57%EV -72.61%E -45.67%K -123.08%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.38%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 10:04 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.79% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.79% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 11:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 11:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 11:00 |