Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Henan FC v Dalian Yingbo

Kickoff: 2026-07-31 11:35 UTC

Final: Henan FC 1–1 Dalian Yingbo

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Henan FC (Local)

Prediction 49.67%2.01fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -4.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.32%49.83%49.61%51.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.851.851.9357.14%54.10%54.05%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dalian Yingbo (Visit)

Prediction 26.14%3.83fair odd
EV +0.648%
Edge +0.168%
Kelly +0.227%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.98%26.00%26.19%27.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.583.503.8530.77%27.94%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.19%4.13fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -0.748%
Kelly -0.997%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.23%24.16%24.20%25.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.783.764.0127.78%26.46%26.60%24.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Henan FC (Local): 49.67%; Dalian Yingbo (Visit): 26.14%; Draw: 24.19%. For Dalian Yingbo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.648%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -10.10%E -5.58%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV +0.648%E +0.168%K +0.227%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 09:49
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -10.10%E -5.58%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV +0.648%E +0.168%K +0.227%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 09:50
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -10.10%E -5.58%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV +0.648%E +0.168%K +0.227%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 09:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -10.10%E -5.58%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV +0.648%E +0.168%K +0.227%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 09:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -10.10%E -5.58%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV +0.648%E +0.168%K +0.227%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 09:49
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -10.10%E -5.58%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV +0.648%E +0.168%K +0.227%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 09:50
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -10.10%E -5.58%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV +0.648%E +0.168%K +0.227%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.30%EV -11.59%E -6.51%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -0.659%E -0.173%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-31 09:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -1.97%E -0.524%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 11:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -1.97%E -0.524%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.38%EV -13.08%E -7.47%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -1.97%E -0.524%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-31 09:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.38%EV -13.08%E -7.47%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -1.97%E -0.524%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-31 09:50
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.87%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 11:18
Marathon Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.36%EV -8.61%E -4.68%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.26%EV -7.60%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 11:10
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.68%EV -4.14%E -2.15%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.41%EV -5.10%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.91%EV -3.00%E -0.748%K -0.997%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 11:25
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.68%EV -4.14%E -2.15%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.41%EV -5.10%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.91%EV -3.00%E -0.748%K -0.997%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 11:24
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.65%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -4.45%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 11:18
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 11:25
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 11:24
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 11:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 11:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -9.11%E -4.98%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-31 08:00
GTbets🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.80%EV -8.61%E -4.68%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 25.89%EV -7.46%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.31%EV -8.81%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-31 11:25
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 11:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 11:24
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-31 11:24
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-31 11:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -7.12%E -3.81%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-31 11:25
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.91%EV -8.61%E -4.68%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -6.87%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-31 11:24
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-31 11:10
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-31 11:10
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-31 11:19
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-31 11:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-31 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-31 11:25
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -7.12%E -3.81%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-31 11:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -7.12%E -3.81%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-31 11:24
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.11%E -4.98%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-31 11:25
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -9.81%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-31 11:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -9.60%E -5.28%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -9.81%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-31 11:25
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-31 11:10
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -7.12%E -3.81%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-31 11:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-31 11:24
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-31 11:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.36%EV -11.59%E -6.51%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.28%EV -6.87%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-31 11:24
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.45%EV -4.14%E -2.15%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.75%EV -11.90%E -3.53%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.80%EV -4.94%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 11:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.50%EV -12.09%E -6.83%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -12.42%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-31 11:25
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.39%EV -13.08%E -7.47%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.60%EV -15.04%E -4.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.01%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-31 03:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-07-31 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-07-31 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-07-31 11:25
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-07-31 11:25
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%2.0%2026-07-31 11:25

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