Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Henan FC v Dalian Yingbo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-31 11:35 UTC

Score final : Henan FC 1–1 Dalian Yingbo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Henan FC (Local)

Prévision 49.67%2.01cote équitable
EV -4.14%
Avantage -2.15%
Kelly -4.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.32%49.83%49.61%51.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.751.851.851.9357.14%54.10%54.05%51.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Dalian Yingbo (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.14%3.83cote équitable
EV +0.648%
Avantage +0.168%
Kelly +0.227%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.98%26.00%26.19%27.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.583.503.8530.77%27.94%28.57%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.19%4.13cote équitable
EV -3.00%
Avantage -0.748%
Kelly -0.997%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.23%24.16%24.20%25.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.783.764.0127.78%26.46%26.60%24.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Henan FC (Local) : 49.67% ; Dalian Yingbo (Visiteur) : 26.14% ; Match nul : 24.19%. Pour Dalian Yingbo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.83. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.85, soit une espérance positive de +0.648%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -10.10%E -5.58%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV +0.648%E +0.168%K +0.227%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 09:49
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -10.10%E -5.58%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV +0.648%E +0.168%K +0.227%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 09:50
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -10.10%E -5.58%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV +0.648%E +0.168%K +0.227%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 09:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -10.10%E -5.58%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV +0.648%E +0.168%K +0.227%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 09:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -10.10%E -5.58%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV +0.648%E +0.168%K +0.227%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 09:49
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -10.10%E -5.58%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV +0.648%E +0.168%K +0.227%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 09:50
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -10.10%E -5.58%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV +0.648%E +0.168%K +0.227%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.30%EV -11.59%E -6.51%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -0.659%E -0.173%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-31 09:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -1.97%E -0.524%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 11:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -1.97%E -0.524%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.38%EV -13.08%E -7.47%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -1.97%E -0.524%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-31 09:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.38%EV -13.08%E -7.47%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -1.97%E -0.524%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-31 09:50
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.87%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 11:18
Marathon Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.36%EV -8.61%E -4.68%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.26%EV -7.60%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 11:10
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.68%EV -4.14%E -2.15%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.41%EV -5.10%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.91%EV -3.00%E -0.748%K -0.997%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 11:25
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.68%EV -4.14%E -2.15%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.41%EV -5.10%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.91%EV -3.00%E -0.748%K -0.997%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 11:24
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.65%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -4.45%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 11:18
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 11:25
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 11:24
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 11:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 11:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -9.11%E -4.98%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-31 08:00
GTbets🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.80%EV -8.61%E -4.68%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 25.89%EV -7.46%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.31%EV -8.81%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-31 11:25
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 11:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 11:24
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-31 11:24
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-31 11:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -7.12%E -3.81%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-31 11:25
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.91%EV -8.61%E -4.68%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -6.87%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-31 11:24
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-31 11:10
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-31 11:10
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-31 11:19
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-31 11:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-31 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-31 11:25
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -7.12%E -3.81%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-31 11:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -7.12%E -3.81%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-31 11:24
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.11%E -4.98%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-31 11:25
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -9.81%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-31 11:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -9.60%E -5.28%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -9.81%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-31 11:25
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-31 11:10
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -7.12%E -3.81%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-31 11:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-31 11:24
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-31 11:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.36%EV -11.59%E -6.51%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.28%EV -6.87%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-31 11:24
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.45%EV -4.14%E -2.15%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.75%EV -11.90%E -3.53%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.80%EV -4.94%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 11:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.50%EV -12.09%E -6.83%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -12.42%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-31 11:25
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.39%EV -13.08%E -7.47%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.60%EV -15.04%E -4.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.01%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-31 03:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-07-31 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-07-31 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-07-31 11:25
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-07-31 11:25
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%2.0%2026-07-31 11:25