Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.48
assuming max odds 3.02
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Henan FC (Local): 40.31%; Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit): 32.87%; Draw: 26.81%. For Henan FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.481. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.480, with an expected value of -0.021%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -0.021%E -0.008%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -13.54%E -5.15%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -0.021%E -0.008%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -13.54%E -5.15%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -0.021%E -0.008%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -13.54%E -5.15%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -0.021%E -0.008%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -13.54%E -5.15%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -0.021%E -0.008%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -13.54%E -5.15%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -0.021%E -0.008%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -13.54%E -5.15%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -3.25%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -3.48%E -0.965%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 11:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -3.25%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -14.53%E -5.59%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.29%EV -3.65%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.88%EV -0.723%E -0.239%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.83%EV -7.23%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 11:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -4.05%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -13.87%E -5.29%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -4.05%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -17.82%E -7.13%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -11.24%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.59%EV -17.82%E -7.13%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -10.18%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.35%EV -5.66%E -2.42%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -1.38%E -0.460%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -10.18%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.35%EV -5.66%E -2.42%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -1.38%E -0.460%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -10.18%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -6.47%E -2.79%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.30%EV -7.30%E -2.59%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.23%EV -4.01%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.93%EV -6.47%E -2.79%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.57%EV -9.91%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.74%EV -6.47%E -2.79%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -19.46%E -7.94%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.74%EV -6.47%E -2.79%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -19.46%E -7.94%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.02%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 11:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 11:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 10:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.61%EV -8.89%E -3.93%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.29%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 11:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.29%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.29%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.29%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.29%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.18%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.29%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 11:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.29%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.73%EV -9.70%E -4.33%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.01%EV -4.01%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.26%EV -4.55%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -11.31%E -5.14%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -11.24%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -11.31%E -5.14%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -11.31%E -5.14%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.76%EV -12.89%E -4.86%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.31%E -5.14%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.31%E -5.14%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.02%EV -15.34%E -7.30%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.88%EV -13.87%E -5.29%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.10%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.60% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.15% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.15% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.15% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |