Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Henan FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Início: 2026-09-06 11:35 UTC

Final: Henan FC 0–0 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Henan FC (Local)

Previsão 40.31%2.48odd justa
EV -0.021%
Vantagem -0.008%
Kelly -0.014%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.71%40.01%40.49%41.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.312.302.4847.62%43.20%43.48%40.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visitante)

Previsão 32.87%3.04odd justa
EV -0.723%
Vantagem -0.239%
Kelly -0.358%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.47%33.11%32.80%35.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.452.752.753.0240.82%36.37%36.36%33.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.81%3.73odd justa
EV -3.48%
Vantagem -0.965%
Kelly -1.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.46%26.89%26.71%28.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.423.453.6030.77%29.21%28.99%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Henan FC (Local): 40.31%; Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visitante): 32.87%; Empate: 26.81%. Para Henan FC (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.481. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.480, com valor esperado de -0.021%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -0.021%E -0.008%K -0.014%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -13.54%E -5.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:50
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -0.021%E -0.008%K -0.014%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -13.54%E -5.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -0.021%E -0.008%K -0.014%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -13.54%E -5.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -0.021%E -0.008%K -0.014%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -13.54%E -5.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:50
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -0.021%E -0.008%K -0.014%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -13.54%E -5.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:50
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -0.021%E -0.008%K -0.014%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -13.54%E -5.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:50
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -3.25%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -3.48%E -0.965%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 11:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -3.25%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -14.53%E -5.59%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 11:30
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.29%EV -3.65%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.88%EV -0.723%E -0.239%K -0.358%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.83%EV -7.23%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 11:29
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -4.05%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -13.87%E -5.29%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 11:20
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -4.05%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -17.82%E -7.13%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 10:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 11:20
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -11.24%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.59%EV -17.82%E -7.13%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -10.18%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 10:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.35%EV -5.66%E -2.42%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -1.38%E -0.460%K -0.690%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -10.18%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.35%EV -5.66%E -2.42%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -1.38%E -0.460%K -0.690%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -10.18%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 11:25
GTbets🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -6.47%E -2.79%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.30%EV -7.30%E -2.59%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.23%EV -4.01%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.93%EV -6.47%E -2.79%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.57%EV -9.91%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 11:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.74%EV -6.47%E -2.79%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -19.46%E -7.94%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-06 10:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.74%EV -6.47%E -2.79%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -19.46%E -7.94%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-06 10:50
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.02%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 11:10
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 11:30
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 10:50
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 11:00
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 10:59
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 11:15
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 11:20
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 11:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 11:15
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 11:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.61%EV -8.89%E -3.93%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 10:50
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.29%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 11:24
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.29%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 11:20
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.29%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 10:50
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.29%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 10:50
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.29%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.18%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 11:30
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.29%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.29%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 11:20
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.73%EV -9.70%E -4.33%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.01%EV -4.01%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.26%EV -4.55%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -11.31%E -5.14%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -11.24%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 10:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -11.31%E -5.14%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 11:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -11.31%E -5.14%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.76%EV -12.89%E -4.86%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.31%E -5.14%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 11:25
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.31%E -5.14%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 11:25
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.02%EV -15.34%E -7.30%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.88%EV -13.87%E -5.29%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.10%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-06 10:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-09-06 11:30
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.60%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-09-06 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.15%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70%1.2%2026-09-06 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.15%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70%1.2%2026-09-06 11:25
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.15%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70%1.2%2026-09-06 11:20