Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dalian Yingbo v Zhejiang

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 11:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Prediction 33.78%2.96fair odd
EV +1.33%
Edge +0.443%
Kelly +0.665%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.13%33.93%33.78%36.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.692.703.0040.00%37.24%37.04%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Zhejiang (Visit)

Prediction 39.55%2.53fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -0.776%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.07%39.40%39.59%41.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.342.322.4846.51%42.65%43.10%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.68%3.75fair odd
EV +0.039%
Edge +0.010%
Kelly +0.014%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.31%26.67%26.63%28.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.413.403.7533.33%29.29%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dalian Yingbo (Local): 33.78%; Zhejiang (Visit): 39.55%; Draw: 26.68%. For Dalian Yingbo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV +1.33%E +0.443%K +0.665%G +0.009%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.88%EV -11.81%E -5.30%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.99%EV -7.70%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 11:30
Pinnacle🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.50%EV -0.021%E -0.007%K -0.011%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.09%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.41%EV -6.36%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 11:30
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -3.74%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.22%EV -7.07%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.62%EV -4.07%E -1.43%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.28%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.09%EV -8.76%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 11:30
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.43%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 11:09
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.43%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 11:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -5.43%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -5.43%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 11:25
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -5.43%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 11:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 11:30
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 11:10
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 11:24
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 11:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 11:25
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 11:10
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -9.83%E -4.31%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-10 11:25
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.90%EV -8.13%E -2.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.75%EV -8.25%E -3.56%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 11:24
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.90%EV -8.13%E -2.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.75%EV -8.25%E -3.56%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 11:25
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV +0.039%E +0.010%K +0.014%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 11:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.88%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.60%EV -8.65%E -3.74%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 11:30
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -13.30%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 11:09
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -13.00%E -5.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-10 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -13.00%E -5.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-10 11:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.49%E -3.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 11:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -10.49%E -3.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 10:48
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.20%EV -10.49%E -3.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -11.02%E -4.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 11:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.07%EV -10.49%E -3.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.76%EV -14.98%E -6.97%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -10.63%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-10 11:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 32.55%EV -11.17%E -4.25%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.91%EV -13.00%E -5.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -19.97%E -6.66%K -9.98%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-10 11:09
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -11.50%E -4.39%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 11:28
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -11.50%E -4.39%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.90%EV -13.00%E -5.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-10 11:25
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -12.18%E -4.68%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -7.07%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-10 11:24
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -13.87%E -5.44%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -1.93%E -0.776%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -13.87%E -5.44%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -1.93%E -0.776%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 10:50
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -13.87%E -5.44%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -1.93%E -0.776%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 10:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -13.87%E -5.44%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -1.93%E -0.776%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 10:50
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -13.87%E -5.44%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -1.93%E -0.776%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 10:50
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -13.87%E -5.44%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -1.93%E -0.776%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 10:49
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -13.87%E -5.44%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -1.93%E -0.776%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 10:50
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -13.87%E -5.44%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -1.93%E -0.776%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -13.87%E -5.44%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 10:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -13.87%E -5.44%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.84%EV -13.00%E -5.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-10 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.04%EV -15.56%E -6.22%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.07%EV -3.90%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -10.63%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-10 10:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.04%EV -15.56%E -6.22%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.07%EV -3.90%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -10.63%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-10 10:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-04-10 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-04-10 11:30
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-04-10 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.09%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-04-10 11:30
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.0%2026-04-10 11:30