La escuela de los momios

Dalian Yingbo v Zhejiang

Inicio: 2026-04-10 11:35 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Predicción 33.78%2.96momio equitativo
EV +1.33%
Ventaja +0.443%
Kelly +0.665%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.13%33.93%33.78%36.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.692.703.0040.00%37.24%37.04%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Zhejiang (Visitante)

Predicción 39.55%2.53momio equitativo
EV -1.93%
Ventaja -0.776%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.07%39.40%39.59%41.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.342.322.4846.51%42.65%43.10%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.68%3.75momio equitativo
EV +0.039%
Ventaja +0.010%
Kelly +0.014%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.31%26.67%26.63%28.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.413.403.7533.33%29.29%29.41%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV +1.33%E +0.443%K +0.665%G +0.009%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.88%EV -11.81%E -5.30%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.99%EV -7.70%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 11:30
Pinnacle2.96I 33.78%NM 32.50%EV -0.021%E -0.007%K -0.011%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.09%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.41%EV -6.36%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 11:30
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -3.74%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.22%EV -7.07%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 11:30
Marathon Bet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.62%EV -4.07%E -1.43%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.28%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.09%EV -8.76%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 11:30
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.43%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 11:09
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.43%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 11:10
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -5.43%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 11:25
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -5.43%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 11:25
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -5.43%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 11:25
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 11:30
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 11:10
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 11:24
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 11:25
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 11:25
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 11:25
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 11:10
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -9.83%E -4.31%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-10 11:25
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 33.90%EV -8.13%E -2.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.75%EV -8.25%E -3.56%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 11:24
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 33.90%EV -8.13%E -2.99%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.75%EV -8.25%E -3.56%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 11:25
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV +0.039%E +0.010%K +0.014%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 11:25
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.88%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.60%EV -8.65%E -3.74%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 11:30
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -13.30%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 11:09
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -13.00%E -5.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-10 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -13.00%E -5.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-10 11:30
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.49%E -3.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 11:25
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -10.49%E -3.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 10:48
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.20%EV -10.49%E -3.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -11.02%E -4.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 11:25
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.07%EV -10.49%E -3.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.76%EV -14.98%E -6.97%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -10.63%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-10 11:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.55%EV -11.17%E -4.25%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.91%EV -13.00%E -5.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -19.97%E -6.66%K -9.98%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-10 11:09
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -11.50%E -4.39%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 11:28
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -11.50%E -4.39%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.90%EV -13.00%E -5.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-10 11:25
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -12.18%E -4.68%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -7.07%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-10 11:24
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -13.87%E -5.44%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -1.93%E -0.776%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 10:50
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -13.87%E -5.44%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -1.93%E -0.776%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 10:50
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -13.87%E -5.44%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -1.93%E -0.776%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 10:49
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -13.87%E -5.44%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -1.93%E -0.776%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 10:50
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -13.87%E -5.44%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -1.93%E -0.776%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 10:50
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -13.87%E -5.44%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -1.93%E -0.776%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 10:49
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -13.87%E -5.44%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -1.93%E -0.776%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 10:50
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -13.87%E -5.44%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -1.93%E -0.776%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -13.87%E -5.44%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 10:50
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -13.87%E -5.44%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.84%EV -13.00%E -5.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-10 11:25
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.04%EV -15.56%E -6.22%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.07%EV -3.90%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -10.63%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-10 10:35
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.04%EV -15.56%E -6.22%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.07%EV -3.90%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -10.63%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-10 10:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-04-10 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-04-10 11:30
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-04-10 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.09%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-04-10 11:30
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.0%2026-04-10 11:30